PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

DerDon

0xf797d4d1c038d1eb0593edae0e66bf8e4b2e0bf2

Realised P&L
$88.1k
Volume
$11.96M
Markets traded
3,513
Open portfolio
$62.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,513
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.42$873.70
08-02 15:38Nothing Ever Happens: AugustBUY0.14$1.01
08-02 15:25Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.13$5.22
08-02 14:44Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?BUY0.91$54.78
07-31 08:25Will Spotify say "World Cup" during earnings call?BUY0.84$399.34
07-31 01:32Will Palantir say "Enterprise" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.948$568.80
07-31 01:31Will Palantir say "Government" 10+ times during earnings call?BUY0.9517019421$447.40
07-31 01:25Will Palantir say "Healthcare" during earnings call?BUY0.56$33.60
07-31 01:24Will Palantir say "Leverage" during earnings call?BUY0.83$41.49
07-31 01:17Will Palantir say "Contract" during earnings call?BUY0.97$194.00
07-31 01:16Will Palantir say "International" during earnings call?BUY0.96$192.00
07-31 00:55Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY0.95$47.50
07-31 00:52Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?BUY0.89$71.28
07-31 00:51Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 31, 2026?BUY0.99$207.90
07-31 00:00Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.59$12.39