PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DerDon

0xf797d4d1c038d1eb0593edae0e66bf8e4b2e0bf2

Realised P&L
$104.9k
Volume
$13.00M
Markets traded
3,879
Open portfolio
$115.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,879
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 09:20Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.8$179.22
09-17 09:17Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?BUY0.9627831178$502.43
09-17 01:40Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 18, 2026?BUY0.3352380952$98.56
09-17 01:40Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 18, 2026?BUY0.61$36.60
09-17 01:37Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.94$182.38
09-16 17:56Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.94$18.80
09-16 17:54Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?BUY0.47$8.88
09-16 17:52Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?BUY0.43$7.78
09-16 11:05Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?BUY0.59$59.00
09-16 10:56Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?BUY0.1548202031$45.12
09-16 10:43Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?BUY0.38$189.08
09-16 01:07Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?BUY0.092$3.13
09-16 00:42Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.13$44.35
09-15 10:54Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.7427451855$1.2k
09-15 09:10Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 15+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.52$151.42