L1quid
0xa794b8eee315d8adff4751a39355e7bd72f142ad
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $141.7k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.100Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
- +$1.2kat 0.753EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$824.99at 0.430Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$642.55at 0.848EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$570.65at 0.436Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 11:44 | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.53 |
| 09-15 11:41 | Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9001596774 | $55.81 |
| 09-13 13:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.22 | $330.00 |
| 09-12 11:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $155.40 |
| 09-12 11:11 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | BUY | 0.998 | $798.40 |
| 07-04 16:41 | Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $598.80 |
| 07-04 16:38 | Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $194.81 |
| 07-04 16:00 | Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | SELL | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 07-04 15:57 | Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $59.88 |
| 07-04 15:54 | Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | SELL | 0.53 | $159.00 |
| 07-04 00:20 | Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.69 |
| 07-04 00:18 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | SELL | 0.02 | $3.10 |
| 07-02 14:06 | Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY | 0.36 | $9.47 |
| 07-02 14:05 | Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY | 0.55 | $61.68 |
| 07-02 13:34 | Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? | SELL | 0.75 | $645.00 |