0x101D3603e466B650AcB902333A85D164Da11922c-1722871196755
0x101d3603e466b650acb902333a85d164da11922c
- Realised P&L
- $-467.46
- Volume
- $26.2k
- Markets traded
- 491
- Open portfolio
- $55.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded491
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.43at 0.565Solana Up or Down - March 3, 7PM ET
- +$32.74at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11PM ET
- +$28.33at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
- +$27.49at 0.562Solana Up or Down - January 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
- +$26.74at 0.626Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:57 | Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $58.86 |
| 06-26 21:48 | Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0236503796 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 21:03 | Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 22:00 | Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 22:00 | Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 22:00 | Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 22:00 | Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 21:59 | Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 23:03 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 23:02 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1069999915 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 01:00 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $17.97 |
| 03-29 00:27 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0668451052 | $10.00 |
| 03-24 02:03 | Deni Avdija: Points O/U 25.5 | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 03-24 01:57 | Deni Avdija: Points O/U 25.5 | BUY | 0.5074626707 | $10.00 |
| 03-09 17:26 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | BUY | 0.329999992 | $22.56 |