PolyBot

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Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-20
Rewards
60 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.17 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.07 to 0.42. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.116060
0.1269129
0.1516145
0.1684229
0.1937266
0.2363329
0.3310339
0.3420359
0.35130489
0.3670559
0.37100659
0.381,2571,916

Spread0.07Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.045555
0.03243298
0.02397695
0.017581,453

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.965555
0.97243298
0.98397695
0.997581,453

Spread0.07Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.896060
0.8869129
0.8516145
0.8484229
0.8137266
0.7763329
0.6710339
0.6620359
0.65130489
0.6470559
0.63100659
0.621,2571,916

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HaradwaithYes612.5
Parz1vaIYes601
BlueBase-568Yes312.27
G.HchenYes167
2B9SYes124.75
FihdrzgddYes90
tcs-312Yes79.41
WarriorHYes63
tradetosurvive1Yes60
Dr.PNLYes60
atlasnovaYes60
Antony82Yes50
GuyFromTinderYes39.47
romanew-cryptoYes38.89
lolzzzlolYes30
frontiertradeYes30
AJSVYes27.69
V4grantYes25.6
0x1894B184374aB530Eacd0A55477f2253BEafA936-1780076507354Yes17
JorgeBraslaYes11.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:37:28BUYNo0.91206$187.62
21:48:36SELLYes0.0930$2.70
21:48:19BUYYes0.1430$4.20
21:40:34SELLYes0.0930$2.70
21:40:19BUYYes0.1330$3.90
20:47:58BUYNo0.8760$52.20
19:53:09BUYNo0.8811$9.64
19:52:00BUYNo0.8482156134673$570.43
19:51:36BUYNo0.82265$217.00
19:06:43BUYYes0.195331575326$5.00
14:35:33BUYYes0.250$10.00
07:25:51SELLYes0.1816$2.88
02:22:22SELLNo0.880$64.00
00:48:09BUYYes0.17312$53.09
19:54:07BUYNo0.8411$9.35
19:27:01SELLYes0.168$1.28
19:26:58SELLYes0.168$1.28
14:15:00BUYYes0.169999998329$5.00
11:04:46SELLNo0.8314$11.88
05:09:19BUYNo0.8293614176299$248.06
00:49:21BUYYes0.2112$2.50
00:47:19SELLNo0.79100$79.00
19:50:57BUYYes0.2124$5.04
18:04:31BUYYes0.169999999315$2.53
16:50:58BUYNo0.708828439619$439.07