tcs-312
0x089bf15e441785cbfe63448b9da0191af91c9f2c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.10
- Volume
- $512.64
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $98.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.305 | $46.21 | −$3.79 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.105 | $26.82 | +$0.82 |
| Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.556 | 0.485 | $20.94 | −$3.06 |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $4.69 | −$0.31 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:05 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $9.00 |
| 09-15 21:03 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 21:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 20:10 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999965 | $16.00 |
| 09-15 20:09 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 20:03 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999969 | $34.00 |
| 09-15 20:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $21.00 |