frontiertrade
0xbcc4d5dd2caef0ca3be52f67144e6646313afbde
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $92.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,231
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,231
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.34at 0.070Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?
- +$41.60at 0.480Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?
- +$40.96at 0.340Will OXY play for Cloud9 in 2027?
- +$37.55at 0.540Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?
- +$35.23at 0.150Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 12 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:45 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 10-18 23:44 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 10-18 23:42 | Will Layne Riggs win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship? | SELL | 0.61 | $48.80 |
| 10-18 22:11 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.619 | $21.82 |
| 10-18 22:10 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.622 | $27.83 |
| 10-18 22:07 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.268 | $21.44 |
| 10-18 21:26 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000? | SELL | 0.47 | $37.60 |
| 10-18 20:56 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election? | SELL | 0.49 | $8.13 |
| 10-18 20:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? | SELL | 0.64 | $5.54 |
| 10-18 12:50 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.39 | $25.40 |
| 10-18 07:51 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.432 | $12.31 |
| 10-18 07:44 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.39 | $31.20 |
| 10-18 06:51 | Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference? | SELL | 0.74 | $11.25 |
| 10-18 05:05 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.5 | $40.00 |
| 10-18 04:05 | Will "Dog Alone" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.90 |