PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

frontiertrade

0xbcc4d5dd2caef0ca3be52f67144e6646313afbde

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$92.7k
Markets traded
1,231
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,231
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · No0.7200.725$58.00+$0.40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5900.585$46.80−$0.40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5300.530$42.40+$0.00
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in October? · No0.6200.500$40.00−$9.60
Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference? · No0.6700.615$34.58−$3.09
Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%? · No0.5600.420$33.60−$11.20
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? · No0.4300.435$30.45+$0.35
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? · Yes0.3400.370$29.60+$2.40
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.4000.365$29.20−$2.80
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 23, 2026? · Yes0.3600.340$27.20−$1.60
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? · Yes0.4300.575$26.98+$6.80
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? · No0.3600.335$26.80−$2.00
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1700.330$26.40+$12.80
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? · Yes0.3000.315$25.20+$1.20
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? · Yes0.2900.310$24.80+$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 23:45Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?SELL0.7$21.00
10-18 23:44Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?SELL0.81$16.20
10-18 23:42Will Layne Riggs win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?SELL0.61$48.80
10-18 22:11No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.619$21.82
10-18 22:10No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.622$27.83
10-18 22:07Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?SELL0.268$21.44
10-18 21:26Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?SELL0.47$37.60
10-18 20:56Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?SELL0.49$8.13
10-18 20:50Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?SELL0.64$5.54
10-18 12:50Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?SELL0.39$25.40
10-18 07:51Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?SELL0.432$12.31
10-18 07:44Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.39$31.20
10-18 06:51Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?SELL0.74$11.25
10-18 05:05Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?SELL0.5$40.00
10-18 04:05Will "Dog Alone" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.69$6.90