PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JorgeBrasla

0xa0599862906b509881fc5032e7f400801f495a71

Realised P&L
$-42.31
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$90.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · No0.6900.915$6.72+$1.65
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8100.955$5.97+$0.91
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes0.6500.620$5.83$0.28
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.4900.665$5.73+$1.51
Will Drake release a new album by September 30? · No0.8500.946$5.63+$0.57
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5400.625$5.56+$0.76
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No0.7200.685$4.88$0.25
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September? · No0.8300.950$4.75+$0.60
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? · Yes0.4500.276$4.34$2.74
Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes? · No0.7800.670$4.08$0.67
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.6000.540$3.88$0.43
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8300.585$3.52$1.47
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No0.5000.450$2.95$0.33
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3000.235$2.90$0.80
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2080.201$2.43$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:49Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?BUY0.21$2.50
09-15 22:15Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.32$2.54
09-15 20:15Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.32$2.50
09-15 20:15Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.34$2.50
09-15 19:55Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.208$2.52
09-15 17:55Szczecin: Tiago Pereira vs Filip PieczonkaBUY0.001$2.50
09-15 13:51Sao Paulo Open: Cadence Brace vs Solana SierraBUY0.65$3.25
09-15 12:29Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki MoriyaBUY0.77$7.32
09-15 06:25Sao Paulo Open: Vendula Valdmannova vs Laura PigossiBUY0.77$3.85
09-14 17:58Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.83$5.00
09-13 22:18Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.54$4.76
09-13 20:25Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C?SELL0.9$5.40
09-13 20:25Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.94$8.51
09-13 18:15Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?SELL0.86$6.61
09-13 11:23Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?BUY0.73$5.00