PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

atlasnova

0xcfe49cce67142941b6d84b154d00998d5ffeb853

Realised P&L
$-307.31
Volume
$10.4k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$40.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.8200.760$38.00$3.00
Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026? · Yes0.2000.110$2.20$1.80
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · Yes0.2000.045$0.56$1.89
Will Mamdani say "Family" during his announcement? · No0.3300.000$0.00$9.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:26Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting?SELL0.4$8.00
09-16 07:18Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.74$37.00
09-16 02:26Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.78$39.00
09-15 23:21Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.12$0.54
09-15 23:05Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.55$11.00
09-15 22:49Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.51$21.71
09-15 20:36Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.46$23.00
09-15 19:24Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?SELL0.2$20.00
09-15 16:48Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?SELL0.278$13.90
09-15 16:22Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.18$3.60
09-15 08:58Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.13$6.50
09-15 08:45Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?SELL0.18$3.60
09-15 07:28Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.32$6.40
09-15 07:06Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?SELL0.61$12.20
09-15 03:54Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027?SELL0.3$0.27