Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-08-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.066. down 0.374 over the period, from 0.440. Range 0.040 to 0.440. 105 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.084	70	70
0.086	80	150
0.087	60	210
0.088	50	260
0.090	130	390
0.100	124	514
0.110	121	635
0.170	412	1,047
0.171	260	1,307
0.194	14	1,321
0.195	150	1,471
0.196	500	1,971

Spread0.037Mid0.066

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.047	40	40
0.046	21	61
0.045	3	64
0.039	5	69
0.030	11	80
0.029	117	197
0.028	133	330
0.027	798	1,127
0.026	1,179	2,306
0.022	26	2,332
0.021	310	2,642
0.014	11	2,652

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.953	40	40
0.954	21	61
0.955	3	64
0.961	5	69
0.970	11	80
0.971	117	197
0.972	133	330
0.973	798	1,127
0.974	1,179	2,306
0.978	26	2,332
0.979	310	2,642
0.986	11	2,652

Spread0.037Mid0.934

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.916	70	70
0.914	80	150
0.913	60	210
0.912	50	260
0.910	130	390
0.900	124	514
0.890	121	635
0.830	412	1,047
0.829	260	1,307
0.806	14	1,321
0.805	150	1,471
0.804	500	1,971

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
windtree	Yes	2,900
0xbEc8107a020e810fFf6f9A140cf560daa6aA6695-1771195643116	Yes	497
innnne	Yes	367.51
Frontiersman	Yes	333.33
planktonXD	Yes	260
Friday	Yes	162.82
0x5533…51ba	Yes	60
0xbaf71a1647D89498713C1084A3F6eeFec74Eb963-1772219577462	Yes	50
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	40
fiter	Yes	40
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	28
tiongbu	Yes	21
Lowtaperfade	Yes	16.32
jam516	Yes	10
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	No	1,378.61
Goopster	No	1,189.99
Roro22	No	915
0x92fF01426aEfB5382e6c7a2aeAd585beC61F94CE-1771272855786	No	285
Chims	No	200
vozomnil	No	200

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:21:48	BUY	No	0.9542502732	915	$873.14
17:35:21	BUY	Yes	0.09	70	$6.30
16:17:38	BUY	Yes	0.06	163	$9.77
14:46:24	BUY	Yes	0.06	50	$3.00
13:56:54	BUY	Yes	0.0599999972	333	$20.00
09:51:12	BUY	Yes	0.0596421361	84	$5.00
06:17:11	BUY	Yes	0.05	16	$0.82
04:17:00	BUY	Yes	0.0493040889	900	$44.37
18:13:39	BUY	Yes	0.0489999854	64	$3.12
07:23:41	BUY	No	0.94	150	$141.00
02:11:38	BUY	Yes	0.0485789474	190	$9.23
02:11:27	BUY	Yes	0.0598578	2,000	$119.72
19:56:30	BUY	No	0.9788	50	$48.94
13:42:33	BUY	Yes	0.07	45	$3.15
08:14:50	BUY	No	0.96	60	$57.59
02:32:00	BUY	No	0.9568106308	63	$60.00
23:50:17	BUY	No	0.95	35	$33.25
22:59:56	BUY	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
17:15:00	SELL	Yes	0.04	75	$3.00
17:12:26	SELL	Yes	0.04	150	$6.00
17:12:15	SELL	Yes	0.04	40	$1.60
17:12:15	SELL	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
17:12:12	BUY	No	0.94	285	$267.90