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Traders

jam516

0x4e8deac8c35ff5321fe8a0a9fb6dfc4b0bbf3b13

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$232.2k
Markets traded
830
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded830
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8280.605$523.47$193.27
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · Yes0.7060.987$379.76+$108.01
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · No0.6930.996$272.68+$83.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? · Yes0.1301.000$20.00+$17.40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? · Yes0.5900.975$9.75+$3.85
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4? · Yes0.7000.970$9.70+$2.70
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.3000.480$9.60+$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? · Yes0.4300.445$8.90+$0.30
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.6100.440$8.80$3.40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? · Yes0.3500.405$8.10+$1.10
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.2800.395$7.90+$2.30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? · Yes0.3900.360$7.20$0.60
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.1800.355$7.10+$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 4? · Yes0.5700.690$6.90+$1.20
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.041$6.15$37.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:57Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?BUY0.22$2.20
08-04 15:53Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.31$6.20
08-04 15:52Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.37$7.40
08-04 15:52Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.18$3.60
08-04 15:33Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.6908327972$100.00
08-04 15:32Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.689999999$100.00
08-04 15:32Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.6979999941$100.00
08-04 15:32Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.301$30.93
08-04 15:31Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.6885454439$100.00
08-04 15:31Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.709999998$100.00
08-04 15:31Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.7054204096$100.00
08-04 15:27Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.779$62.32
08-04 15:16Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.59$5.90
08-04 15:15Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?BUY0.3$3.00
08-04 15:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.999$9.99