PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Goopster

0x5a79e83ccb6b3c58b4730eeabb9115101f0f6296

Realised P&L
$-5.9k
Volume
$6.60M
Markets traded
533
Open portfolio
$18.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded533
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9100.962$2.5k+$133.90
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9600.945$1.9k$30.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8000.920$1.4k+$180.75
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.8540.870$1.3k+$23.30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.8900.885$1.1k$6.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7700.992$992.00+$222.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.9630.979$978.49+$15.50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · No0.8300.930$697.50+$75.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · No0.9720.995$569.43+$12.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? · No0.9641.000$499.75+$17.75
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? · No0.9400.982$490.75+$20.75
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · No0.9200.935$467.50+$7.50
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.8610.771$462.90$53.70
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8700.885$442.50+$7.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.835$417.50$7.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 16:27Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?BUY0.973$106.16
09-08 16:20Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.92$460.00
09-08 16:18Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.89$638.13
09-08 16:16Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?BUY0.898$17.96
09-08 16:11Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?BUY0.861$262.60
09-08 16:06Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$190.34
09-08 16:05Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?BUY0.98$81.11
08-26 15:31Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?BUY0.995$398.00
08-26 15:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?BUY0.964$482.00
08-26 14:47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$425.00
08-26 14:29UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.8$360.00
08-26 14:23Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?BUY0.980352$490.18
08-26 14:18Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.96$1.9k
08-26 13:56Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.83$7.87
08-18 13:33Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?BUY0.96$148.80