PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Goopster

0x5a79e83ccb6b3c58b4730eeabb9115101f0f6296

Realised P&L
$-6.3k
Volume
$6.56M
Markets traded
533
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded533
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.8610.723$433.50−$83.10
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · No0.9850.990$270.27+$1.50
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? · No0.9990.999$220.67−$0.07
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3620.162$175.95−$218.01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3600.155$155.00−$205.00
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? · No0.9970.999$64.94+$0.13
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8800.570$57.57−$31.31
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? · No0.9960.992$40.65−$0.18
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? · No0.9890.992$33.71+$0.09
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? · No0.9950.999$24.96+$0.09
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? · No0.9980.999$21.97+$0.01
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? · No0.9940.999$18.97+$0.09
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.9430.571$9.70−$6.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 19:20Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?SELL0.9904810167$61.57
10-03 19:19Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?SELL0.992$13.73
10-03 19:18Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?SELL0.957$20.10
10-03 19:17Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?SELL0.958$4.79
10-03 19:13Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.98$10.21
10-03 19:13Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.986$34.51
10-03 19:11Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.999$14.98
10-03 19:11Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.999$42.96
10-03 19:11Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.999$14.98
10-03 19:10Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.999$53.95
10-03 19:10Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.999$64.94
10-03 19:09Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.999$44.95
10-03 19:09Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.998$53.89
10-03 19:09Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.998$54.89
10-03 19:08Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.998$42.91