vozomnil
0xf9b0e9186f3abe292a2519b555938f542c70a817
- Realised P&L
- $5.7k
- Volume
- $319.2k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.011Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
- +$901.51at 0.026Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
- +$163.49at 0.962Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$135.12at 0.801Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
- +$118.14at 0.962Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:32 | Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.781 | $5.15 |
| 08-04 18:21 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | SELL | 0.6101964637 | $3.11 |
| 08-04 18:20 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.92 | $85.07 |
| 08-04 18:05 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | SELL | 0.62 | $15.44 |
| 08-04 17:51 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.985 | $3.20 |
| 08-04 17:29 | Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.752266048 | $97.27 |
| 08-04 17:28 | Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $5.44 |
| 08-04 03:44 | Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 08-03 03:17 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.87 |
| 08-03 02:28 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.0437821512 | $8.99 |
| 08-02 22:40 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.0290274128 | $7.40 |
| 08-01 02:30 | Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $24.25 |
| 08-01 01:42 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $48.04 |
| 07-29 02:21 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 07-29 02:20 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.9015541265 | $117.76 |