CongoleseKevinWarsh
0xad529df14c293d77984a0137990a1441b25211ac
- Realised P&L
- $82.6k
- Volume
- $12.44M
- Markets traded
- 3,095
- Open portfolio
- $12.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,095
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.1kat 0.880US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$5.7kat 0.998Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$5.1kat 0.057Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
- +$4.2kat 0.194US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.087Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:36 | Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 12:41 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.8998852459 | $274.46 |
| 09-16 08:13 | Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $54.40 |
| 09-16 08:10 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $529.21 |
| 09-15 04:01 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $23.87 |
| 09-15 03:59 | Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $13.20 |
| 09-15 03:57 | Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $34.56 |
| 09-15 03:56 | Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | SELL | 0.2925841199 | $107.56 |
| 09-15 03:36 | Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | SELL | 0.48 | $67.25 |
| 09-14 14:26 | Will Jared Leto be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:19 | Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 14:06 | Will Scarlett Johansson be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.021 | $1.08 |
| 09-14 09:59 | Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $9.60 |
| 09-14 04:44 | Will Renée Good rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026? | BUY | 0.7184398977 | $280.91 |
| 09-14 04:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $210.00 |