PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pingentfan1

0xad529df14c293d77984a0137990a1441b25211ac

Realised P&L
$42.9k
Volume
$12.82M
Markets traded
3,308
Open portfolio
$12.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,308
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? · Yes0.2490.450$703.49+$313.36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.1230.115$575.00−$40.00
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · No0.6210.690$489.74+$48.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.2200.230$459.99+$20.00
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0120.455$430.98+$419.66
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? · No0.4210.460$417.26+$35.18
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2090.205$415.32−$7.97
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1420.135$405.06−$21.81
Will Michael rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? · No0.5000.545$401.67+$32.91
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1650.110$391.27−$194.68
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? · Yes0.7090.765$379.52+$27.91
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · Yes0.6020.575$342.97−$15.90
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? · No0.4400.420$316.43−$15.19
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · Yes0.3010.360$308.20+$50.34
Will Nancy Guthrie be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0710.091$271.51+$61.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 23:48Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?SELL0.32$32.19
10-31 23:46US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.42106096$210.53
10-31 23:12U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?SELL0.8$63.12
10-31 21:36Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?SELL0.33$66.00
10-31 11:05Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.0447045363$44.46
10-31 10:53Will Sean 'Diddy' Combs be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?SELL0.02$3.85
10-31 10:31US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.1848563031$67.92
10-31 10:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?BUY0.89$178.00
10-31 10:28US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?SELL0.3254288153$99.11
10-31 10:23Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?BUY0.2347630862$76.65
10-31 10:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?BUY0.9818$98.18
10-31 10:08Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.13$130.00
10-31 10:07Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?SELL0.81$31.59
10-31 08:08US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?BUY0.32$65.46
10-31 08:06Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.94$188.00