PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CongoleseKevinWarsh

0xad529df14c293d77984a0137990a1441b25211ac

Realised P&L
$82.6k
Volume
$12.44M
Markets traded
3,095
Open portfolio
$12.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,095
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · No0.8990.870$1.6k$54.72
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? · Yes0.2520.645$1.3k+$799.58
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · No0.5430.660$1.1k+$194.84
Will Ali Khamenei rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? · No0.6750.770$469.70+$57.90
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1650.130$469.47$125.68
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · No0.8400.835$417.50$2.50
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.3570.415$391.35+$54.19
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · Yes0.1720.220$380.19+$83.36
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0130.375$355.20+$343.31
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.1110.090$331.66$77.77
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · Yes0.4250.425$326.37$0.34
Will Renée Good rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026? · No0.7180.810$316.71+$35.80
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · No0.8750.928$288.59+$16.63
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.1560.165$282.74+$16.03
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.1880.155$252.00$53.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:36Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?SELL0.15$3.00
09-16 12:41Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?SELL0.8998852459$274.46
09-16 08:13Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?SELL0.17$54.40
09-16 08:10US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$529.21
09-15 04:01US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.08$23.87
09-15 03:59Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?SELL0.33$13.20
09-15 03:57Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?SELL0.27$34.56
09-15 03:56Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?SELL0.2925841199$107.56
09-15 03:36Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?SELL0.48$67.25
09-14 14:26Will Jared Leto be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?SELL0.01$1.00
09-14 14:19Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?BUY0.25$10.00
09-14 14:06Will Scarlett Johansson be the #1 searched person on Google this year?SELL0.021$1.08
09-14 09:59Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?SELL0.16$9.60
09-14 04:44Will Renée Good rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?BUY0.7184398977$280.91
09-14 04:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?SELL0.06$210.00