pingentfan1
0xad529df14c293d77984a0137990a1441b25211ac
- Realised P&L
- $42.9k
- Volume
- $12.82M
- Markets traded
- 3,308
- Open portfolio
- $12.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,308
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.1kat 0.880US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$5.8kat 0.998Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$5.1kat 0.057Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
- +$4.2kat 0.194US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.087Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 23:48 | Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $32.19 |
| 10-31 23:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42106096 | $210.53 |
| 10-31 23:12 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $63.12 |
| 10-31 21:36 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 10-31 11:05 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.0447045363 | $44.46 |
| 10-31 10:53 | Will Sean 'Diddy' Combs be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.02 | $3.85 |
| 10-31 10:31 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.1848563031 | $67.92 |
| 10-31 10:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 10-31 10:28 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | SELL | 0.3254288153 | $99.11 |
| 10-31 10:23 | Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? | BUY | 0.2347630862 | $76.65 |
| 10-31 10:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | BUY | 0.9818 | $98.18 |
| 10-31 10:08 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $130.00 |
| 10-31 10:07 | Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $31.59 |
| 10-31 08:08 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $65.46 |
| 10-31 08:06 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.94 | $188.00 |