PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

windtree

0xad529df14c293d77984a0137990a1441b25211ac

Realised P&L
$64.0k
Volume
$11.70M
Markets traded
2,956
Open portfolio
$14.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,956
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0770.135$4.6k+$2.0k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.1600.225$1.5k+$433.40
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? · Yes0.2520.630$1.3k+$769.05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No0.1150.120$812.33+$33.93
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.1880.265$641.21+$186.77
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1020.205$615.00+$307.88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0250.030$600.00+$102.42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.042$438.87$16.70
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3250.350$391.25+$27.83
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.5400.395$363.92$133.58
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · No0.4440.695$278.64+$100.55
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · No0.5340.670$233.74+$47.45
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1890.170$204.00$22.50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0480.021$184.41$233.01
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1120.075$114.41$56.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:10US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.34$2.67
08-02 20:06Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?SELL0.49$9.80
08-02 20:06Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?SELL0.28$69.72
08-02 20:05Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?SELL0.29$81.49
08-02 19:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.27$73.55
08-02 19:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.28$22.86
08-02 18:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.12$1.20
08-02 18:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.13$1.30
08-02 18:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.43$12.32
08-02 18:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.43$645.00
08-02 17:54Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?SELL0.05$34.44
08-02 17:52Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.443$44.30
08-02 17:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.034788527$347.89
08-02 16:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.03$60.00
08-02 16:41Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?BUY0.18875$226.50