tiongbu
0xb77778b0ed37ad61176519da34b24118c9593ff9
- Realised P&L
- $-34.5k
- Volume
- $1.53M
- Markets traded
- 4,115
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,115
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.570Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$2.0kat 0.720UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$2.0kat 0.485Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
- +$1.6kat 0.841Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Maxim Mrva
- +$1.2kat 0.686Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:07 | Will Trump post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.88 | $27.28 |
| 08-02 12:02 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 04:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 04:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 04:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 04:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.874113854 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7898582204 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 04:39 | Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | SELL | 0.87 | $18.27 |
| 08-02 04:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 04:17 | Will Project Hail Mary be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.44 |
| 08-02 04:16 | Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.69 |
| 08-02 04:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8257126933 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 05:57 | Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.48 |
| 08-01 04:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.05 |
| 08-01 04:33 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.06 |