tiongbu
0xb77778b0ed37ad61176519da34b24118c9593ff9
- Realised P&L
- $-40.7k
- Volume
- $1.62M
- Markets traded
- 5,927
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,927
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.577Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$2.0kat 0.493Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
- +$1.9kat 0.730UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$1.6kat 0.843Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Maxim Mrva
- +$1.2kat 0.688Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $38.80 |
| 11-01 12:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $37.59 |
| 11-01 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.34 |
| 11-01 04:05 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.69 |
| 11-01 04:04 | Will Ambient launch a token by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 11-01 04:02 | Will 32B win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.975 | $10.29 |
| 11-01 04:01 | Will Spilled Milk win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 11-01 04:01 | Will Spilled Milk win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.88 |
| 11-01 03:54 | Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 10-26 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 10-25 03:59 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-25 03:59 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $20.04 |
| 10-25 03:58 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher? | SELL | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 10-24 04:45 | Will Magan's Fare win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 10-24 04:44 | Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.9 | $13.56 |