PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tiongbu

0xb77778b0ed37ad61176519da34b24118c9593ff9

Realised P&L
$-34.5k
Volume
$1.53M
Markets traded
4,115
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,115
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.7640.925$101.75+$17.75
Will Trump post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week? · No0.8740.890$72.97+$1.33
Will Team Secret Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2 · U 1.50.6300.660$66.66+$3.03
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.9170.993$50.61+$3.85
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? · Yes0.6000.978$49.85+$19.25
Will Global Esports Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2 · U 2.50.5300.500$49.50$2.97
Will Leviatán Win More than 3.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Americas Stage 2 · O 3.50.7030.445$45.14$26.15
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · No0.7700.855$43.60+$4.33
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? · No0.7380.725$36.97$0.67
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6800.725$36.97+$2.29
Will Team Secret Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2 · O 1.50.3200.340$34.34+$2.02
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026? · No0.6650.525$32.02$8.54
Will Evil Geniuses Win More than 0.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Americas Stage 2 · O 0.50.8800.998$31.04+$3.67
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? · No0.9320.988$30.63+$1.74
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31? · Yes0.7460.855$29.07+$3.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 12:07Will Trump post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.88$27.28
08-02 12:02Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?SELL0.16$3.20
08-02 04:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.99$100.00
08-02 04:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.9699999998$100.00
08-02 04:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.8499999996$100.00
08-02 04:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.874113854$100.00
08-02 04:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.7898582204$50.00
08-02 04:39Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?SELL0.87$18.27
08-02 04:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.5099999986$50.00
08-02 04:17Will Project Hail Mary be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.021$0.44
08-02 04:16Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.033$0.69
08-02 04:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.8257126933$100.00
08-01 05:57Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August 2026?SELL0.03$0.48
08-01 04:35Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by August 31, 2026?SELL0.05$1.05
08-01 04:33Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by August 31, 2026?SELL0.06$3.06