Frontiersman
0x9df3f29010f74ac061f65c5e463a889ada7dddfc
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $974.4k
- Markets traded
- 841
- Open portfolio
- $984.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded841
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.196Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.152Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.489Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.343Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.406Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:28 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5399999999 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 14:27 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.6 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 14:27 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.6 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 14:27 | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5799999998 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 14:27 | New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5899999987 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.72 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 13:56 | Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 15:51 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.6199999983 | $120.00 |
| 07-31 15:51 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.5699999981 | $120.00 |
| 07-31 15:50 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $120.00 |
| 07-31 15:50 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5699999981 | $120.00 |
| 07-31 15:50 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $120.00 |
| 07-31 15:11 | Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026? | SELL | 0.1427481573 | $41.45 |
| 07-31 15:04 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9345285333 | $140.18 |
| 07-30 08:30 | Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $120.00 |