innnne
0xececfd112e92be0750363c91909c47b449aba183
- Realised P&L
- $953.83
- Volume
- $16.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $99.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$627.76at 0.002Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in June?
- +$479.60at 0.024Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?
- +$102.32at 0.190US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$88.00at 0.120Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23?
- +$53.98at 0.080US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:36 | Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0490017241 | $8.53 |
| 08-04 17:35 | Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.30 |
| 08-04 09:51 | Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0596421361 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 18:16 | Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 18:14 | Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999796 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 18:13 | Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0489999854 | $3.12 |
| 08-03 18:12 | Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999918 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 15:17 | Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.05 | $9.75 |
| 07-29 06:53 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 06:53 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.40 |
| 07-27 06:39 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $6.80 |
| 07-27 06:39 | Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01851224 | $2.31 |
| 07-27 06:39 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $5.54 |
| 07-24 15:53 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 14:51 | Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |