Lowtaperfade
0xbdd08fc7a71196e4aa28741b903cb8e8ccbe550a
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $94.3k
- Markets traded
- 716
- Open portfolio
- $396.92
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded716
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.82at 0.034Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$96.48at 0.017Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$90.68at 0.021Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$85.78at 0.740Chirayu Rana sued?
- +$79.54at 0.850US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $26.71 |
| 08-04 19:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3862506253 | $7.72 |
| 08-04 19:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3843333333 | $11.53 |
| 08-04 19:23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $13.58 |
| 08-04 18:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-04 18:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 08-04 15:27 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.786 | $23.58 |
| 08-04 15:27 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.785 | $7.33 |
| 08-04 15:27 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 08-04 15:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 08-04 15:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.468 | $4.85 |
| 08-04 15:01 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 08-04 15:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.460722973 | $4.77 |
| 08-04 14:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $5.52 |
| 08-04 14:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |