PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.065 over the period, from 0.090. Range 0.025 to 0.090. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.030289289
0.0466295
0.05020315
0.06980395
0.130400795
0.5991,0001,795
0.6009722,768
0.6101,6414,409
0.6602,3536,762
0.670306,792
0.7098007,592
0.7102,75910,350

Spread0.010Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.020235235
0.01740275
0.016562837
0.0153,8894,726
0.0104685,194
0.0083005,494
0.0045005,994
0.003476,041
0.0022306,271
0.0011506,421

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.980235235
0.98340275
0.984562837
0.9853,8894,726
0.9904685,194
0.9923005,494
0.9965005,994
0.997476,041
0.9982306,271
0.9991506,421

Spread0.010Mid0.975

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.970289289
0.9546295
0.95020315
0.93180395
0.870400795
0.4011,0001,795
0.4009722,768
0.3901,6414,409
0.3402,3536,762
0.330306,792
0.2918007,592
0.2902,75910,350

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
FridayYes1,000
grothYes1,000
bbccJYes541
aosdijfYes350
0x2Db7211fBD60A7CeFC804eaB39a250Db46828f9b-1772535030056Yes289.4
sdfsdfsdfsdf2Yes289
sqaolkytrpoiYes225.2
42021Yes205.83
cd30gfu530p0Yes200.86
ludo-moneyYes160.29
RolandZhangYes157
Dr.PNLYes136.13
planktonXDYes117
0x57e7…84e9Yes86.14
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192Yes80
ViscaElBarcaYes80
gcjamesYes60
a5533Yes50
Elias.ThornwellYes48.99
trader-9b779399Yes48.04

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:08:03SELLNo0.9711$10.28
11:53:36SELLYes0.0225$0.11
08:17:01SELLNo0.9696$5.80
08:07:31SELLYes0.0280$1.60
08:07:18SELLYes0.0240$0.80
08:07:10SELLYes0.0240$0.80
08:01:46SELLNo0.9715$14.63
08:01:37SELLNo0.977$7.01
08:01:33SELLYes0.0440$1.60
08:00:21SELLYes0.0315$0.45
08:00:21SELLNo0.9720$19.40
08:00:12BUYNo0.9534587041,703$1623.69
23:57:42BUYNo0.9519$18.09
16:43:39BUYYes0.0610$0.60
14:42:07BUYYes0.067125256370$4.67
14:42:03SELLYes0.0432$1.28
14:42:01SELLYes0.0510$0.50
14:41:54BUYYes0.069999999648$3.34
14:41:52BUYYes0.0736$2.55
14:41:52BUYYes0.0733$2.33
14:41:52BUYYes0.0699999999161$11.25
14:41:52BUYYes0.0699999997128$8.99
14:41:51BUYNo0.94851$799.49
23:21:01SELLYes0.0620$1.20
23:18:06SELLYes0.0610$0.60