gcjames
0x43fdf2f78aee5d5248fb10149f2d2d9a966759d3
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $464.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,779
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,779
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.35at 0.538US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$40.05at 0.199Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?
- +$38.60at 0.257Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
- +$37.24at 0.812Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
- +$33.75at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:51 | Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-17 18:51 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.651 | $6.25 |
| 09-17 18:51 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 0%-10%? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 18:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 55%-60%? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 09-17 18:51 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in September? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 18:51 | Will Newcastle United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 18:51 | Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.44 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be 450,000 or more? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.18 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.28 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will Kansas have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be less than 250,000? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.27 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.183 | $5.49 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $7.20 |