PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

42021

0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124

Realised P&L
$19.6k
Volume
$9.76M
Markets traded
6,704
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,704
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · No0.2450.300$330.65+$60.99
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8800.945$268.38+$18.46
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No0.8780.977$263.23+$26.57
Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? · No0.7300.730$254.99+$0.11
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.7000.695$247.76−$1.71
Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election? · No0.9780.999$183.82+$3.86
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · No0.8470.860$140.08+$2.12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4600.445$134.85−$4.47
Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election? · Yes0.4200.435$130.11+$4.49
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? · Yes0.9100.943$125.36+$4.32
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.6620.561$118.20−$21.38
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · No0.1480.140$104.21−$5.94
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7710.825$102.05+$6.70
Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? · Yes0.3140.310$92.83−$1.07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026? · Yes0.2900.295$83.34+$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:51Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?SELL0.605$12.10
10-31 22:43LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSELL0.39$2.34
10-31 22:27LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.82$58.22
10-31 22:26LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSELL0.32$35.20
10-31 19:35Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 1?SELL0.51$6.63
10-31 15:01Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 1?SELL0.5$6.50
10-31 13:11Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Group BSELL0.37$22.20
10-31 09:35Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 1?SELL0.46$3.68
10-29 13:57Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.617$32.08
10-29 05:46Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 30?SELL0.52$7.80
10-28 17:35AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5SELL0.55$82.50
10-28 16:53Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)SELL0.61$18.30
10-28 07:44Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?SELL0.58$23.20
10-26 01:39Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?SELL0.4$12.00
10-25 19:44US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?SELL0.074$1.48