PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

RolandZhang

0x0cd65d7e26be5f6a26e24ff20335c8ef0baa2784

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$48.4k
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$993.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8720.967$171.85+$16.85
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7690.735$162.47$7.53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.6200.865$139.52+$39.52
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.7550.775$76.98+$1.98
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.2800.305$47.21+$3.87
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.325$42.76$7.24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.3500.205$27.60$19.52
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.6740.690$25.86+$0.59
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in September? · No0.3900.660$23.76+$9.72
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? · No0.4100.615$22.14+$7.38
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0630.053$21.83$3.88
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3500.445$18.25+$3.90
Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in September? · Yes0.2200.460$17.72+$9.25
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.5060.615$17.22+$3.04
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1800.185$14.80+$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:53Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.18$14.40
09-17 04:34Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.24$0.01
09-17 04:00Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.24$0.02
09-17 03:57Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.24$0.13
09-17 01:06Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.24$3.29
09-16 19:23Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.25$14.50
09-16 17:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.35$14.35
09-16 14:48Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3575$14.30
09-16 08:43Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?BUY0.304$3.65
09-15 22:12Will Israel election happen as scheduled?BUY0.0972941176$1.65
09-15 16:57Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.06$1.25
09-15 16:34Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?BUY0.14$12.04
09-15 15:25Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?BUY0.41$14.76
09-15 11:52Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.06$0.51
09-14 16:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999982$50.00