RolandZhang
0x0cd65d7e26be5f6a26e24ff20335c8ef0baa2784
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $48.4k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $993.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.07at 0.650Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$102.31at 0.820US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
- +$85.04at 0.187Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?
- +$83.90at 0.049Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
- +$79.32at 0.550US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:53 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $14.40 |
| 09-17 04:34 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 04:00 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 03:57 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.13 |
| 09-17 01:06 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.29 |
| 09-16 19:23 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $14.50 |
| 09-16 17:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $14.35 |
| 09-16 14:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3575 | $14.30 |
| 09-16 08:43 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | BUY | 0.304 | $3.65 |
| 09-15 22:12 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0972941176 | $1.65 |
| 09-15 16:57 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.25 |
| 09-15 16:34 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.14 | $12.04 |
| 09-15 15:25 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $14.76 |
| 09-15 11:52 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.51 |
| 09-14 16:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $50.00 |