RolandZhang
0x0cd65d7e26be5f6a26e24ff20335c8ef0baa2784
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $67.0k
- Markets traded
- 297
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded297
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.07at 0.650Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$102.31at 0.820US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
- +$85.20at 0.148Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$85.04at 0.187Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?
- +$83.91at 0.049Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:46 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9699999953 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 08:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9809870101 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 06:28 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9819999999 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 02:22 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999998 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 00:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 00:20 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.9447685294 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 23:30 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.9888045132 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 22:41 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $203.14 |
| 10-30 01:28 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.183 | $0.72 |
| 10-29 17:54 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.276460783 | $42.79 |
| 10-29 17:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9709999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 17:33 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $82.14 |
| 10-28 18:29 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9599999969 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 18:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $98.65 |
| 10-28 14:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9709999976 | $100.00 |