PolyBot

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Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-04
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. up 0.09 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.11 to 0.45. 73 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.34599599
0.35335934
0.361551,090
0.40401,130
0.411771,307
0.42131,319
0.452001,519
0.935502,069
0.94252,094
0.99442,138

Spread0.01Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.33415415
0.32106521
0.31317838
0.256844
0.1770914
0.162301,144
0.0251,149
0.01381,188

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.67415415
0.68106521
0.69317838
0.756844
0.8370914
0.842301,144
0.9851,149
0.99381,188

Spread0.01Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.66599599
0.65335934
0.641551,090
0.60401,130
0.591771,307
0.58131,319
0.552001,519
0.075502,069
0.06252,094
0.01442,138

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes341.66
Started-with-20-USDYes194.23
ArmageddonRewardsBillyYes171.05
AJSVYes75.2
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794Yes73
0x3a9d…f332Yes46.33
itsjustcheddarYes40
LucerysYes34.04
vasiksimYes20
V4grantYes14.71
0x1B15D2193E4eac1dDDa50Fd22511c511235196D4-1772364148568Yes14
80fA5eYes1
0xa5ef…2966No771.93
GuyFromTinderNo78.73
pootytherewardfarmerNo73.27
POB-TNo46.31
RewardsProductionNo20
FihdrzgddNo13.85
0xc91507aC5B25E4385F6eEb0537B31f07FfE5479b-1780899090000No10.03
2B9SNo7.71

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:18:09SELLNo0.662$1.29
11:51:35BUYYes0.347$2.38
11:51:33BUYYes0.3420$6.80
09:33:29BUYYes0.33999998515$5.00
05:44:00SELLNo0.667$4.63
01:05:17BUYYes0.3423$7.82
01:03:57BUYYes0.3320$6.60
01:03:57BUYYes0.3313$4.29
01:03:57BUYYes0.3313$4.29
01:03:57BUYYes0.3320$6.60
01:03:57BUYYes0.337$2.31
01:03:57BUYYes0.3373$24.09
01:03:57BUYYes0.3320$6.60
23:32:24SELLYes0.3120$6.19
23:30:44BUYNo0.6899999889$6.32
23:30:42BUYNo0.6920$13.80
23:30:42BUYNo0.68999998767$5.02
23:30:42SELLYes0.3177$23.95
16:35:54BUYYes0.3350$16.50
16:28:45SELLNo0.6720$13.40
14:59:21BUYNo0.685$3.40
14:50:44BUYYes0.3414$4.76
02:04:22SELLYes0.3220$6.40
18:45:08SELLNo0.672$1.07
18:11:25SELLNo0.7722$16.62