RewardsProduction
0x581ee4cf297c2a057aed53d928f60f1adf981526
- Realised P&L
- $33.34
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 280
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded280
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.00at 0.225Will Davante Adams be the highest-scoring WR in Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL season?
- +$26.40at 0.340Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
- +$25.00at 0.375Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage yards?
- +$25.00at 0.375Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?
- +$24.40at 0.390Will Chris Olave finish Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage yards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 02:29 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 10-28 00:01 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 10-22 17:21 | Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 10-08 13:34 | Will Josh Allen be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 09-16 03:23 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.98 |
| 09-16 03:21 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 09-15 23:32 | Will the Republican win the North Carolina Supreme Court general election? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 23:31 | Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.8459999825 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 23:30 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:35 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-15 22:32 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.98 |
| 09-15 18:57 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-15 18:27 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-15 15:20 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-15 15:18 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $3.00 |