PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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RewardsProduction

0x581ee4cf297c2a057aed53d928f60f1adf981526

Realised P&L
$33.34
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Miles Teller be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.6150.952$38.06+$13.46
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026? · No0.7300.910$36.40+$7.20
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the highest-scoring WR of the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.7500.540$21.60−$8.40
Will Sarpsborg 08 be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien? · No0.7360.970$21.33+$5.13
Will Gabriel Tardio reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.4830.335$20.10−$8.90
Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.6301.000$19.99+$7.39
Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October? · No0.7501.000$19.99+$4.99
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 18%? · No0.5300.999$19.97+$9.38
Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October? · No0.7300.996$19.91+$5.31
Will Bucheon FC 1995 be relegated from the 2026 K-League? · No0.7500.992$19.84+$4.84
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? · No0.6800.990$19.80+$6.20
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? · No0.7100.989$19.77+$5.57
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026? · No0.7300.982$19.64+$5.04
Will Jeju SK be relegated from the 2026 K-League? · No0.5400.974$19.48+$8.68
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen be relegated from the 2026 K-League? · No0.4800.967$19.33+$9.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 02:29Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?BUY0.71$14.20
10-28 00:01Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?BUY0.68$13.60
10-22 17:21Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?BUY0.66$6.60
10-08 13:34Will Josh Allen be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?BUY0.58$11.60
09-16 03:23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.83$4.98
09-16 03:21Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.74$7.40
09-15 23:32Will the Republican win the North Carolina Supreme Court general election?BUY0.8$4.00
09-15 23:31Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?BUY0.8459999825$3.00
09-15 23:30Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.9$1.00
09-15 22:35Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.92$4.60
09-15 22:32Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.83$4.98
09-15 18:57Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.74$3.70
09-15 18:27Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.72$3.60
09-15 15:20Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.92$4.60
09-15 15:18Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.6299999685$3.00
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