0xc91507aC5B25E4385F6eEb0537B31f07FfE5479b-1780899090000
0xc91507ac5b25e4385f6eeb0537b31f07ffe5479b
- Realised P&L
- $-259.04
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $64.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.20at 0.773Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
- +$2.12at 0.619Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.260Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.480Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?
- +$0.59at 0.840Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 10:54 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 09-25 22:12 | Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-25 15:48 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 09-25 15:08 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.18 |
| 09-24 17:52 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 05:39 | Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 02:45 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-23 05:39 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 09-23 05:39 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $17.40 |
| 09-16 16:52 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.240295 | $4.81 |
| 09-15 21:52 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in September? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-14 19:40 | Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.93 |
| 09-14 14:40 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.74 |
| 09-14 08:35 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.31 |
| 09-13 17:55 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |