PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc91507aC5B25E4385F6eEb0537B31f07FfE5479b-1780899090000

0xc91507ac5b25e4385f6eeb0537b31f07ffe5479b

Realised P&L
$-259.04
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$64.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027? · No0.7200.690$13.80−$0.60
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · No0.6600.665$13.30+$0.10
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4600.420$8.40−$0.80
Will the Labour Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Yes0.2800.270$5.40−$0.20
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.265$5.30−$1.90
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? · No0.2900.245$4.90−$0.90
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? · Yes0.6400.735$3.44+$0.44
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes0.3100.335$3.34+$0.25
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.2401.000$1.97+$1.50
Will Alex Pretti rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026? · Yes0.1600.080$1.60−$1.60
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000? · No0.8000.805$1.59+$0.01
Will Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes win the next Maynas mayoral elections? · Yes0.3180.325$0.75+$0.02
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? · Yes0.4000.040$0.16−$1.44
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September? · Yes0.2800.044$0.10−$0.52
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.67% in September? · No0.4300.000$0.00−$8.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 10:54Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?SELL0.12$4.80
09-25 22:12Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?SELL0.51$10.20
09-25 15:48Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?SELL0.46$18.40
09-25 15:08Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.22$4.18
09-24 17:52US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?SELL0.15$3.00
09-24 05:39Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.2$4.00
09-24 02:45Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?SELL0.35$7.00
09-23 05:39US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?SELL0.18$7.20
09-23 05:39Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?SELL0.29$17.40
09-16 16:52Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?SELL0.240295$4.81
09-15 21:52Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in September?SELL0.08$1.60
09-14 19:40Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?SELL0.11$2.93
09-14 14:40Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?SELL0.1$4.74
09-14 08:35Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?SELL0.15$1.31
09-13 17:55Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?SELL0.13$2.60