PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-09-20
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.23. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.18 to 0.41. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.23818818
0.242211,040
0.251881,228
0.26111,239
0.28131,251
0.29101,261
0.30331,294
0.31921,386
0.321341,520
0.33991,619
0.34131,632
0.635002,132

Spread0.01Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2266
0.215561
0.20393455
0.19147602
0.1830631
0.15200831
0.1354885
0.1267952
0.0112964

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7866
0.795561
0.80393455
0.81147602
0.8230631
0.85200831
0.8754885
0.8867952
0.9912964

Spread0.01Mid0.78

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.77818818
0.762211,040
0.751881,228
0.74111,239
0.72131,251
0.71101,261
0.70331,294
0.69921,386
0.681341,520
0.67991,619
0.66131,632
0.375002,132

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
shiifooYes280
GuyFromTinderYes115.94
gabriellelangerYes108.4
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes100
FihdrzgddYes76.27
0x3a9d…f332Yes55.02
dsfd3Yes50
LornaPredictsYes44.39
0x1894B184374aB530Eacd0A55477f2253BEafA936-1780076507354Yes36
frontiertradeYes30
AJSVYes27.52
JAMJAMJAM4Yes24
etghzcerYes21.27
wert4Yes20.11
0x1B15D2193E4eac1dDDa50Fd22511c511235196D4-1772364148568Yes16
fi5hYes10
0x22cd…40a0Yes7.69
0x251c…de70Yes7.69
0x6306…e4f6Yes7.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:44:55BUYYes0.235$1.15
12:49:03BUYYes0.2431$7.41
12:31:28BUYYes0.245$1.20
07:11:16BUYYes0.245$1.20
06:55:37BUYYes0.2511$2.70
06:55:16BUYYes0.2510$2.50
06:46:33BUYYes0.245$1.20
06:29:30BUYYes0.255$1.25
04:34:06BUYYes0.255$1.25
04:33:57BUYYes0.255$1.25
04:33:48BUYYes0.255$1.25
02:13:18BUYYes0.25999998964$1.00
02:09:07BUYYes0.25999998968$2.00
02:09:01BUYNo0.753$2.00
02:07:18BUYNo0.753$2.00
02:06:42BUYYes0.25999998968$2.00
02:06:31BUYNo0.753$2.00
02:06:31BUYYes0.25999998968$2.00
02:05:55BUYNo0.753$2.00
02:04:45BUYYes0.25999998968$2.00
02:04:39BUYNo0.753$2.00
02:04:30BUYNo0.753$2.00
02:04:12BUYYes0.25999998968$2.00
01:51:45BUYNo0.751$1.00
01:31:21BUYYes0.25999998968$2.00