0x251c381184e7c0d750261ae1df24b6695fe3de70
0x251c381184e7c0d750261ae1df24b6695fe3de70
- Realised P&L
- $10.61
- Volume
- $327.69
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $12.31
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$5.69at 0.260Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:29 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:29 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 18:49 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:37 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 00:58 | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 14:58 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 06:20 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:01 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:50 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:19 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:16 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:14 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:14 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:12 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 05:14 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |