PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6306db49007ad384898a85600d7359ff77c7e4f6

Realised P&L
$-6.81
Volume
$222.04
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$4.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes0.5500.650$2.36+$0.36
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.2600.225$1.73$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 10:20Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.549999945$2.00
09-17 02:06Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-11 23:27Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$2.00
09-07 22:14Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.699999965$2.00
09-07 13:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$2.00
08-31 23:08Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $97.50 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.72$2.00
08-23 21:42Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-22 22:14Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-22 10:39Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?BUY0.72$2.00
08-22 01:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-21 05:48Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-17 03:04Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.72$2.00
08-17 02:22Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.59999994$2.00
08-16 17:12Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
08-14 03:18Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00