Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.33. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.36. Range 0.30 to 0.41. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.33	187	187
0.39	16	203
0.40	200	403
0.41	592	995
0.43	140	1,135
0.44	361	1,496
0.45	316	1,812
0.46	1,808	3,620
0.47	785	4,405
0.48	785	5,190
0.49	885	6,075
0.51	785	6,860

Spread0.01Mid0.33

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.32	2,676	2,676
0.31	1,797	4,473
0.30	1,280	5,752
0.29	365	6,117
0.28	184	6,301
0.26	208	6,509
0.18	56	6,565
0.14	1,000	7,565
0.13	1,000	8,565
0.12	1,000	9,565
0.11	1,000	10,565
0.10	1,000	11,565

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.68	2,676	2,676
0.69	1,797	4,473
0.70	1,280	5,752
0.71	365	6,117
0.72	184	6,301
0.74	208	6,509
0.82	56	6,565
0.86	1,000	7,565
0.87	1,000	8,565
0.88	1,000	9,565
0.89	1,000	10,565
0.90	1,000	11,565

Spread0.01Mid0.68

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.67	187	187
0.61	16	203
0.60	200	403
0.59	592	995
0.57	140	1,135
0.56	361	1,496
0.55	316	1,812
0.54	1,808	3,620
0.53	785	4,405
0.52	785	5,190
0.51	885	6,075
0.49	785	6,860

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Ahpo	Yes	1,090.8
AlexiosV	Yes	609.18
simpleman	Yes	499.99
lIllIIl	Yes	440.44
puravida	Yes	400.36
donthackme	Yes	325.07
0xf499…80bd	Yes	306.16
0x0CCa834588028c2C092C70d0467E242F86fe700f-1777052806747	Yes	219.4
0xe2bd…eab2	Yes	200
ozgun	Yes	191.32
nicoeg	Yes	172.41
Bsau4	Yes	123.72
xiaoaojiang	Yes	100
LornaPredicts	Yes	99.5
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	87.67
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	60
AJSV	Yes	56.05
B0192i39041	Yes	55
0x56a8…eea2	Yes	30
anciano	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:04:45	SELL	Yes	0.32	50	$16.00
17:14:24	SELL	Yes	0.32	5	$1.60
14:31:12	SELL	Yes	0.358617718	116	$41.61
13:39:00	SELL	Yes	0.38	12	$4.41
13:38:47	SELL	Yes	0.39	60	$23.35
13:38:44	BUY	No	0.61	50	$30.50
13:38:44	SELL	Yes	0.4	399	$159.66
16:04:15	SELL	Yes	0.4	6	$2.51
00:41:08	SELL	Yes	0.4	5	$2.00
22:27:24	BUY	No	0.6	85	$51.21
15:39:42	BUY	No	0.6	2	$1.00
15:39:41	BUY	No	0.6	96	$57.85
15:39:39	BUY	No	0.5999999961	51	$30.62
14:18:24	BUY	Yes	0.41	515	$211.23
08:40:24	BUY	No	0.6	10	$6.00
08:40:12	BUY	No	0.6	40	$24.00
08:40:06	BUY	No	0.6	30	$18.00
14:24:54	SELL	No	0.59	42	$24.87
22:28:48	SELL	No	0.59	40	$23.60
17:53:53	SELL	No	0.59	0	$0.21
10:50:06	SELL	Yes	0.4	49	$19.60
23:03:33	SELL	Yes	0.39	23	$8.97
23:03:30	BUY	No	0.6	40	$24.00
22:50:23	BUY	No	0.6	30	$18.28
13:07:54	SELL	No	0.59	10	$5.90