Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 3¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.15. down 0.34 over the period, from 0.49. Range 0.14 to 0.49. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	7,646	7,646
0.17	12,521	20,167
0.18	24,110	44,277
0.19	77	44,354
0.20	83	44,437
0.21	1,034	45,471
0.22	73	45,544
0.23	1,052	46,595
0.24	138	46,733
0.25	128	46,861
0.27	20	46,881
0.28	45	46,926

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	10,624	10,624
0.14	11,725	22,348
0.13	20,612	42,960
0.07	364	43,325
0.06	1,333	44,658
0.05	400	45,058
0.04	500	45,558
0.03	667	46,225
0.02	1,800	48,025
0.01	1,551	49,576

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	10,624	10,624
0.86	11,725	22,348
0.87	20,612	42,960
0.93	364	43,325
0.94	1,333	44,658
0.95	400	45,058
0.96	500	45,558
0.97	667	46,225
0.98	1,800	48,025
0.99	1,551	49,576

Spread0.01Mid0.84

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	7,646	7,646
0.83	12,521	20,167
0.82	24,110	44,277
0.81	77	44,354
0.80	83	44,437
0.79	1,034	45,471
0.78	73	45,544
0.77	1,052	46,595
0.76	138	46,733
0.75	128	46,861
0.73	20	46,881
0.72	45	46,926

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
drde	Yes	9,999.97
notssf3	Yes	6,205.08
0x2a5f…6c92	Yes	3,780
Orange.gold	Yes	2,799.99
electionplayer	Yes	2,711.67
podairpod	Yes	2,674.5
TheReturnOfDarthMaul	Yes	2,000
worknplay	Yes	1,500
rainbowlilies	Yes	1,274.38
worldhappy	Yes	1,000
NeverHold	Yes	961.26
ranks001	Yes	800
donthackme	Yes	789.16
KimJonEn	Yes	714.31
DancewithRisk	Yes	680.18
0x0840F6d2f4C4e625Db8C43B2fd7B0d54678E9746-1781423249299	Yes	549.61
0x4eb03d9Cdbd447BD322ff9E0f388e62ff1B16981-1781519808282	Yes	526.32
lostmansoul	Yes	500.01
lIllIIl	Yes	500
superSlow	Yes	441.05

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:26:42	BUY	Yes	0.16	31	$5.00
08:09:49	SELL	No	0.84	0	$0.15
04:35:51	BUY	Yes	0.16	13	$2.00
01:44:52	BUY	No	0.85	6	$5.10
01:44:51	BUY	No	0.85	982	$834.96
01:44:12	BUY	No	0.85	18	$15.04
01:44:10	BUY	No	0.85	6	$5.10
01:44:10	BUY	No	0.85	1,000	$850.00
01:23:42	BUY	Yes	0.16	70	$11.18
22:12:48	SELL	Yes	0.15	63	$9.38
21:29:24	BUY	No	0.85	45	$38.41
20:28:43	BUY	No	0.85	738	$626.93
16:37:02	BUY	No	0.85	34	$28.56
16:36:59	BUY	No	0.85	140	$119.00
16:36:48	BUY	No	0.85	56	$47.33
16:36:45	BUY	No	0.85	5	$4.25
16:36:45	BUY	No	0.85	232	$197.20
16:00:10	BUY	Yes	0.16	63	$10.07
15:23:27	SELL	No	0.84	91	$76.15
13:33:11	SELL	No	0.84	50	$42.00
13:12:00	SELL	No	0.84	2	$1.97
13:11:53	BUY	No	0.85	2	$2.00
12:16:54	SELL	No	0.84	198	$166.32
11:51:17	BUY	No	0.8499999937	8	$6.75
11:09:30	BUY	Yes	0.16	56	$9.00