ranks001
0xeb813f3bf7a31e59a48e31eb2c801dbc2022423a
- Realised P&L
- $-506.31
- Volume
- $210.6k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.993 | 0.992 | $1.2k | −$1.80 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.842 | 0.945 | $358.57 | +$39.27 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.808 | 0.780 | $354.90 | −$12.85 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.155 | $124.00 | −$20.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.655 | $6.28 | +$0.14 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-19 House seat? · No | 0.060 | 0.007 | $1.50 | −$10.50 |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.18at 0.280Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$21.02at 0.914Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$18.14at 0.965Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$13.84at 0.890Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$10.20at 0.324Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.2k |
| 09-17 08:02 | Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.0399643073 | $1.98 |
| 09-17 08:01 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $152.00 |
| 09-17 07:57 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-19 House seat? | SELL | 0.04 | $28.13 |
| 09-17 07:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-19 House seat? | BUY | 0.05 | $35.16 |
| 09-17 07:51 | Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.067 | $3.32 |
| 09-17 07:37 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.14 |
| 09-17 07:37 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7080645161 | $109.75 |
| 09-17 07:37 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.4 | $239.99 |
| 09-07 23:06 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $342.69 |
| 08-25 05:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.33 | $660.00 |
| 08-20 09:35 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.49 | $38.22 |
| 08-20 09:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.27 | $540.00 |
| 07-24 15:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | SELL | 0.18 | $118.75 |
| 07-24 15:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.3434789264 | $197.46 |