superSlow
0xef90e74b6ef3571d7fce62af07ef050f304d5930
- Realised P&L
- $-53.47
- Volume
- $101.5k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $74.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.345 | $64.19 | −$15.81 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.004 | $9.81 | −$61.63 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.030 | $0.13 | +$0.00 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.70 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$119.97 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.55 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.67 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$421.85at 0.268Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$348.44at 0.159US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$17.40at 0.140US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?
- +$15.50at 0.167Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$14.47at 0.517Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 06:31 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $80.00 |
| 10-15 10:50 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0181573772 | $5.50 |
| 10-15 10:49 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.628 | $62.80 |
| 10-08 04:56 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | SELL | 0.085019619 | $35.71 |
| 10-08 04:55 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.0829016954 | $35.65 |
| 09-30 00:14 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $93.87 |
| 09-29 00:26 | Curitiba: Ryan Dickerson vs Jose Pereira | SELL | 0.17 | $102.00 |
| 09-27 09:09 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.559 | $27.95 |
| 09-24 18:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.42 | $12.60 |
| 09-24 06:25 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 09-19 13:39 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.39 |
| 09-18 04:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.49 | $64.71 |
| 09-18 04:43 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 15:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999988 | $70.00 |
| 09-17 15:05 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0329999999 | $10.00 |