PolyBot

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Traders

lIllIIl

0x6dceb84cb3b8f003c8c4db52c5554303070f4490

Realised P&L
$18.1k
Volume
$2.60M
Markets traded
3,927
Open portfolio
$8.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,927
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.8640.923$5.5k+$359.00
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? · No0.8620.939$1.5k+$123.31
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? · No0.6520.815$545.25+$108.98
Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.5500.545$436.00$4.00
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.4570.450$224.19$3.38
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5200.645$90.94+$17.63
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.3000.155$77.50$72.50
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.4600.670$60.29+$18.90
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.4100.225$21.00$17.27
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.2800.135$9.45$10.15
Nothing Ever Happens: April · Something0.3940.000$0.00$182.80
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$70.17
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$100.50
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 28? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.52
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6000.000$0.00$204.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 07:18Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.55$440.00
09-21 07:15Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.4583029275$216.04
09-16 22:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.45$529.80
09-15 16:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.36$1.3k
08-25 22:18Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.3270235182$48.11
08-06 11:39Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?SELL0.05$2.50
07-27 06:34Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?SELL0.74$182.62
07-26 18:26Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsBUY0.54$37.80
07-20 12:52China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.59$177.00
07-20 12:51China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.59$74.93
07-19 21:34Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6490625$25.96
07-19 19:33Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0336067885$72.14
07-19 09:42Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.07$62.71
07-18 19:07Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY0.55$181.50
07-18 19:03France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.23$115.00