lIllIIl
0x6dceb84cb3b8f003c8c4db52c5554303070f4490
- Realised P&L
- $18.1k
- Volume
- $2.60M
- Markets traded
- 3,927
- Open portfolio
- $8.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,927
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.1kat 0.960Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$3.3kat 0.301Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
- +$3.2kat 0.962Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$3.1kat 0.911Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
- +$2.8kat 0.400Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 07:18 | Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.55 | $440.00 |
| 09-21 07:15 | Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.4583029275 | $216.04 |
| 09-16 22:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.45 | $529.80 |
| 09-15 16:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.3k |
| 08-25 22:18 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3270235182 | $48.11 |
| 08-06 11:39 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 07-27 06:34 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.74 | $182.62 |
| 07-26 18:26 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.54 | $37.80 |
| 07-20 12:52 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.59 | $177.00 |
| 07-20 12:51 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.59 | $74.93 |
| 07-19 21:34 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6490625 | $25.96 |
| 07-19 19:33 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0336067885 | $72.14 |
| 07-19 09:42 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.07 | $62.71 |
| 07-18 19:07 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.55 | $181.50 |
| 07-18 19:03 | France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.23 | $115.00 |