PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

worldhappy

0x0def87742cd371af131de5310759191d8546ab31

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$280.6k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9930.992$1.5k$2.25
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.1900.155$155.00$35.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · No0.8900.978$85.31+$7.64
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9500.994$34.77+$1.52
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9850.995$26.85+$0.26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.9620.000$0.00$278.02
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.26
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$32.24
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$32.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 09:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$1.5k
09-17 09:23Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.19$38.00
09-17 09:22Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.19$152.00
09-17 09:202026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.3$1.2k
08-22 09:532026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.38$1.5k
07-16 02:12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?SELL0.57$1.03
07-15 14:26US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?SELL0.034$47.12
07-15 12:33US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?SELL0.012$11.86
07-15 11:31US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0400107461$24.69
07-15 11:31US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?SELL0.013$12.84
07-15 06:56US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$1.73
07-15 06:55US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0441246436$88.38
07-15 06:54US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0147369586$28.29
07-15 06:54US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?SELL0.002$15.29
07-14 22:36US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?BUY0.02$1.78