PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4eb03d9Cdbd447BD322ff9E0f388e62ff1B16981-1781519808282

0x4eb03d9cdbd447bd322ff9e0f388e62ff1b16981

Realised P&L
$-147.48
Volume
$28.6k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$81.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.1900.155$81.58$18.42
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$10.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$10.00
Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany0.4600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00$10.00
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) · Brazil0.3100.000$0.00$10.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? · No0.1600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$10.00
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$10.00
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$10.00
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:45Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.1899999998$100.00
09-16 04:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$150.17
07-30 08:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5699999996$127.78
07-29 04:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$3.64
07-20 00:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.29$19.33
07-15 09:09Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1969999854$10.00
07-15 09:09Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2269999847$10.00
07-14 08:58Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.299999982$10.00
07-09 09:57Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?BUY0.0568674647$10.00
07-09 09:54Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?BUY0.0503280653$10.00
07-09 06:21Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
07-09 06:21France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5BUY0.4799999827$10.00
07-08 09:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
07-08 09:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0082443092$10.00
07-08 09:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2198900413$10.00