0x4eb03d9Cdbd447BD322ff9E0f388e62ff1B16981-1781519808282
0x4eb03d9cdbd447bd322ff9e0f388e62ff1b16981
- Realised P&L
- $-147.48
- Volume
- $28.6k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $81.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.64at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$70.23at 0.582Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$45.31at 0.184Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$26.82at 0.276Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
- +$21.05at 0.327Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:45 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 04:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $150.17 |
| 07-30 08:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999996 | $127.78 |
| 07-29 04:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.64 |
| 07-20 00:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $19.33 |
| 07-15 09:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1969999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 09:09 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2269999847 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 08:58 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 09:57 | Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.0568674647 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 09:54 | Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.0503280653 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 06:21 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 06:21 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 09:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 09:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0082443092 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 09:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2198900413 | $10.00 |