PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0840F6d2f4C4e625Db8C43B2fd7B0d54678E9746-1781423249299

0x0840f6d2f4c4e625db8c43b2fd7b0d54678e9746

Realised P&L
$95.79
Volume
$66.4k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:19Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.18$90.00
09-15 04:14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.62$62.00
09-15 04:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$66.00
09-14 07:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.2$100.00
09-05 14:11Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?SELL0.992$14.88
08-27 14:40Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?SELL0.63$64.26
08-27 14:39Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?SELL0.64$35.14
08-27 03:34Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?SELL0.0446503403$6.69
08-27 03:33Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?SELL0.79$72.84
08-25 06:02Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.169$33.80
08-24 20:23Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by August 31?SELL0.069584$6.96
08-22 01:51Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?BUY0.37$59.34
08-21 13:34Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?SELL0.718062$71.81
08-21 10:03Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.78$11.70
08-21 09:56Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?SELL0.30667$24.53