0x0840F6d2f4C4e625Db8C43B2fd7B0d54678E9746-1781423249299
0x0840f6d2f4c4e625db8c43b2fd7b0d54678e9746
- Realised P&L
- $95.79
- Volume
- $66.4k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$587.68at 0.232Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
- +$425.89at 0.415Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
- +$264.01at 0.807Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$223.94at 0.397Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?
- +$218.81at 0.562Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:19 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $90.00 |
| 09-15 04:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 09-15 04:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $66.00 |
| 09-14 07:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 14:11 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $14.88 |
| 08-27 14:40 | Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | SELL | 0.63 | $64.26 |
| 08-27 14:39 | Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | SELL | 0.64 | $35.14 |
| 08-27 03:34 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31? | SELL | 0.0446503403 | $6.69 |
| 08-27 03:33 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $72.84 |
| 08-25 06:02 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.169 | $33.80 |
| 08-24 20:23 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by August 31? | SELL | 0.069584 | $6.96 |
| 08-22 01:51 | Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | BUY | 0.37 | $59.34 |
| 08-21 13:34 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31? | SELL | 0.718062 | $71.81 |
| 08-21 10:03 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $11.70 |
| 08-21 09:56 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31? | SELL | 0.30667 | $24.53 |