PolyBot

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Traders

podairpod

0x2ed8f7a10686dbb0fb15f5c3335f30e0043793d4

Realised P&L
$30.3k
Volume
$1.06M
Markets traded
756
Open portfolio
$24.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded756
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7050.954$4.8k+$1.2k
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7980.615$3.2k$963.99
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6520.485$2.9k$1.0k
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · No0.5410.805$2.4k+$794.91
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes0.8650.674$1.9k$533.58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.4350.520$1.0k+$166.98
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · No0.4750.815$864.48+$360.77
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? · No0.9340.722$669.51$197.64
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · No0.7190.908$667.05+$139.37
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6600.877$579.04+$143.52
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8450.485$570.82$423.73
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? · Yes0.9140.992$530.96+$41.86
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.4060.185$494.78$592.25
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.5130.615$420.76+$70.04
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · Yes0.3450.450$357.63+$83.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:39Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.22$4.40
09-17 20:39Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.2$6.00
09-17 20:38Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?BUY0.09$2.70
09-17 11:28Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.22$61.82
09-17 11:24Bank of England rate hike in 2026?SELL0.8$2.37
09-16 22:59Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?BUY0.24$16.23
09-16 22:58Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.47$28.75
09-16 22:03Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?BUY0.0624067797$3.68
09-16 21:57Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?SELL0.21$6.02
09-16 19:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.55$549.99
09-16 18:54Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.42156$106.44
09-16 18:54Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.4714038719$264.20
09-16 18:06Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.32$125.26
09-16 18:06Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.3305084182$169.02
09-16 18:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.67$334.99