podairpod
0x2ed8f7a10686dbb0fb15f5c3335f30e0043793d4
- Realised P&L
- $30.3k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 756
- Open portfolio
- $24.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded756
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.456Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$4.3kat 0.788Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.9kat 0.816Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.8kat 0.708Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.342Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:39 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 09-17 20:39 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 20:38 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 09-17 11:28 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.22 | $61.82 |
| 09-17 11:24 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.37 |
| 09-16 22:59 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? | BUY | 0.24 | $16.23 |
| 09-16 22:58 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.47 | $28.75 |
| 09-16 22:03 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September? | BUY | 0.0624067797 | $3.68 |
| 09-16 21:57 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.02 |
| 09-16 19:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.55 | $549.99 |
| 09-16 18:54 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.42156 | $106.44 |
| 09-16 18:54 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4714038719 | $264.20 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $125.26 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.3305084182 | $169.02 |
| 09-16 18:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.67 | $334.99 |