PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

drde

0xd0a042d1da4cab5293f6a758a0082234b05d2760

Realised P&L
$-18.2k
Volume
$2.57M
Markets traded
1,157
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,157
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.1800.155$1.5k$250.00
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.2850.164$25.41$18.84
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5940.044$2.23$27.49
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.6000.620$1.94+$0.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00$607.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.2800.000$0.00$699.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$1.9k
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00$1.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2PM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$49.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$349.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$24.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00$1.0k
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.1860.000$0.00$650.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.3737083333$448.45
09-18 10:15Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.9524105405$5.6k
09-16 16:56Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.933$9.5k
09-11 19:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.026836$40.25
09-11 18:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.17$255.00
09-11 13:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.16$10.05
09-11 04:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.24$84.00
09-09 13:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.5118181818$112.60
09-07 12:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.62$12.40
09-03 05:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.09$4.95
09-03 05:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.1$7.00
09-02 08:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.08$6.00
08-30 04:32No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5944$29.72
08-29 20:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.5$7.50
08-29 05:09Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.2170588235$36.90