drde
0xd0a042d1da4cab5293f6a758a0082234b05d2760
- Realised P&L
- $-18.2k
- Volume
- $2.57M
- Markets traded
- 1,157
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,157
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.0kat 0.105Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$11.2kat 0.082Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
- +$6.6kat 0.270Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$5.4kat 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$5.3kat 0.322Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3737083333 | $448.45 |
| 09-18 10:15 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.9524105405 | $5.6k |
| 09-16 16:56 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.933 | $9.5k |
| 09-11 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.026836 | $40.25 |
| 09-11 18:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $255.00 |
| 09-11 13:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $10.05 |
| 09-11 04:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $84.00 |
| 09-09 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5118181818 | $112.60 |
| 09-07 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 09-03 05:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $4.95 |
| 09-03 05:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $7.00 |
| 09-02 08:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $6.00 |
| 08-30 04:32 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5944 | $29.72 |
| 08-29 20:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 08-29 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2170588235 | $36.90 |