worknplay
0x42018dffd61b34aefddec3f1a66bca505ca66133
- Realised P&L
- $-18.2k
- Volume
- $99.3k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $17.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$766.50at 0.731Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$38.99at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$28.20at 0.915Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
- +$27.52at 0.870Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
- +$8.00at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 17:39 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $226.71 |
| 09-16 04:26 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $25.57 |
| 09-16 04:23 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $2.83 |
| 09-16 04:22 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.9132949029 | $30.10 |
| 09-16 04:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.961 | $96.10 |
| 09-16 04:17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.98 | $348.30 |
| 09-16 04:13 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.981 | $245.25 |
| 09-13 20:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.71 | $560.90 |
| 09-13 20:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.72 | $780.70 |
| 09-13 20:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.71 | $10.64 |
| 09-13 20:22 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.74 | $29.60 |
| 09-13 09:43 | Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.7 | $542.02 |
| 09-13 09:40 | Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | BUY | 0.76 | $318.94 |
| 09-13 09:38 | Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $95.93 |
| 09-13 09:04 | Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.69 | $12.14 |