worknplay
0x42018dffd61b34aefddec3f1a66bca505ca66133
- Realised P&L
- $-120.26
- Volume
- $870.92
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $191.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.76at 0.930Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.74at 0.730Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.21at 0.979Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
- +$0.19at 0.963Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
- +$0.06at 0.940Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 08:35 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.37 |
| 08-01 07:41 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 07:37 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.6199996445 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 07:36 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.7659999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 07:34 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9769999331 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 07:31 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9549999671 | $9.00 |
| 08-01 07:29 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 07:28 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9099999936 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 07:28 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999478 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 07:26 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.969999993 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 14:10 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 07-26 13:36 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 13:34 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 19:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 05:18 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.991 | $49.89 |