PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

worknplay

0x42018dffd61b34aefddec3f1a66bca505ca66133

Realised P&L
$-18.2k
Volume
$99.3k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$17.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-18.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5460.385$5.2k$2.2k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5150.615$2.4k+$388.58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3610.384$1.9k+$110.52
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8800.915$938.02+$35.88
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.7370.665$892.71$96.37
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.5110.545$828.11+$50.89
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.5150.380$766.04$273.17
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes0.6990.670$535.60$23.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.6100.565$527.17$41.99
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5730.389$517.87$246.51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · No0.8600.945$472.50+$42.50
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? · Yes0.8090.635$452.51$124.36
Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? · Yes0.7580.715$391.51$23.36
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · No0.3310.178$356.00$306.00
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No0.7400.700$238.34$13.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 17:39Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.53$226.71
09-16 04:26Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.88$25.57
09-16 04:23Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.95$2.83
09-16 04:22Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?SELL0.9132949029$30.10
09-16 04:19Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.961$96.10
09-16 04:17Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.98$348.30
09-16 04:13Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.981$245.25
09-13 20:25Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.71$560.90
09-13 20:25Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.72$780.70
09-13 20:25Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.71$10.64
09-13 20:22Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.74$29.60
09-13 09:43Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?BUY0.7$542.02
09-13 09:40Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?BUY0.76$318.94
09-13 09:38Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?BUY0.75$95.93
09-13 09:04Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?BUY0.69$12.14