US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-08-31
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.73. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.72. Range 0.47 to 0.76. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	1,471	1,471
0.75	3,035	4,506
0.76	1,074	5,580
0.77	666	6,246
0.78	23	6,269
0.81	617	6,886
0.82	1,354	8,241
0.83	1,000	9,241
0.85	5	9,246
0.86	1,505	10,751
0.87	3,551	14,301
0.88	10,273	24,574

Spread0.02Mid0.73

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	220	220
0.71	1,595	1,815
0.70	1,727	3,542
0.69	381	3,924
0.66	205	4,129
0.65	390	4,519
0.64	417	4,936
0.63	1,000	5,936
0.62	55	5,991
0.61	319	6,310
0.60	500	6,810
0.58	180	6,990

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	220	220
0.29	1,595	1,815
0.30	1,727	3,542
0.31	381	3,924
0.34	205	4,129
0.35	390	4,519
0.36	417	4,936
0.37	1,000	5,936
0.38	55	5,991
0.39	319	6,310
0.40	500	6,810
0.42	180	6,990

Spread0.02Mid0.27

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	1,471	1,471
0.25	3,035	4,506
0.24	1,074	5,580
0.23	666	6,246
0.22	23	6,269
0.19	617	6,886
0.18	1,354	8,241
0.17	1,000	9,241
0.15	5	9,246
0.14	1,505	10,751
0.13	3,551	14,301
0.12	10,273	24,574

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
eCash	Yes	25,265.23
Newshound	Yes	17,786.58
nojnn	Yes	13,619.65
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	11,889.65
mini-man	Yes	10,808.03
Cal800	Yes	10,630.97
scout	Yes	10,000
aff3	Yes	8,602.23
shuanyang	Yes	7,500
QuietRiskisWrong	Yes	6,462.33
JAMJAMJAM4	Yes	5,403.07
0x25fc…dd0d	Yes	5,028.89
blunderbot	Yes	3,703.7
78979879879879	Yes	3,668.52
Mustafalafel	Yes	3,199.6
BloodyMummer	Yes	3,180.08
mrkinetiq	Yes	3,040.62
RememberAmalek	Yes	3,014.41
hobo69	Yes	2,999.99
GayPride	Yes	2,749.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:00:35	BUY	Yes	0.74	50	$37.00
21:52:15	SELL	No	0.25	20	$4.97
21:52:14	SELL	No	0.25	20	$4.90
21:51:09	SELL	No	0.25	3	$0.73
21:51:08	SELL	No	0.26	615	$159.90
21:49:35	BUY	No	0.2799998432	4	$1.00
21:48:38	BUY	Yes	0.7299999744	8	$6.00
21:48:36	BUY	Yes	0.73	5	$3.65
21:48:21	SELL	No	0.27	2	$0.45
21:48:20	SELL	No	0.28	352	$98.54
21:44:56	SELL	No	0.28	1	$0.15
21:44:54	SELL	No	0.28	2,651	$742.35
21:44:54	SELL	No	0.28	18	$4.99
21:44:53	SELL	No	0.29	3,744	$1085.76
21:41:26	BUY	No	0.31	5	$1.49
21:41:24	SELL	No	0.3	1,250	$375.00
21:41:24	SELL	No	0.29	0	$0.08
21:40:06	SELL	Yes	0.69	4	$2.76
21:39:03	BUY	Yes	0.7099999806	2	$1.10
21:39:00	BUY	No	0.31	7	$2.07
21:38:59	BUY	No	0.3	2,790	$837.10
21:38:32	BUY	Yes	0.7099999806	2	$1.10
21:38:29	BUY	No	0.3	11	$3.30
21:38:29	BUY	Yes	0.7099999806	2	$1.10
21:38:26	BUY	No	0.3	200	$60.00