GayPride
0x551e72eda42a5ab39d6d78239a1d9bbb5db6b0e0
- Realised P&L
- $570.4k
- Volume
- $23.72M
- Markets traded
- 879
- Open portfolio
- $62.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded879
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$216.3kat 0.086Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
- +$153.6kat 0.261Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$89.6kat 0.176Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
- +$86.8kat 0.671Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$62.5kat 0.539Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 03:53 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat? | SELL | 0.06 | $51.32 |
| 07-30 11:44 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.23 | $8.96 |
| 07-30 10:03 | Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.941 | $37.73 |
| 07-30 09:58 | Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 07-30 09:58 | Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.4485294118 | $61.00 |
| 07-30 09:57 | Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.3803846154 | $197.80 |
| 07-30 09:57 | Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.3826684456 | $573.62 |
| 07-30 09:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $931.27 |
| 07-30 09:45 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $78.09 |
| 07-30 01:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.5714708603 | $148.26 |
| 07-30 01:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.49 | $352.42 |
| 07-30 01:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.6 | $52.24 |
| 07-30 01:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? | SELL | 0.96954002 | $969.54 |
| 07-29 06:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 07-29 06:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $32.60 |