GayPride
0x551e72eda42a5ab39d6d78239a1d9bbb5db6b0e0
- Realised P&L
- $602.5k
- Volume
- $24.16M
- Markets traded
- 921
- Open portfolio
- $109.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded921
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$216.3kat 0.086Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
- +$153.2kat 0.263Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$89.0kat 0.179Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
- +$86.7kat 0.671Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$62.5kat 0.539Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:12 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 09-13 19:42 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.77 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 23:53 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $140.54 |
| 09-09 22:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.3k |
| 09-09 22:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.466584022 | $169.37 |
| 09-09 02:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.59 | $105.49 |
| 09-08 21:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.63 | $77.13 |
| 09-08 21:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.62 | $66.02 |
| 09-08 21:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 09-08 21:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.62 | $138.71 |
| 09-07 20:55 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.61 | $4.2k |
| 09-07 20:01 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 09-06 19:53 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | BUY | 0.1862565293 | $6.42 |
| 09-06 19:53 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.19 | $48.03 |
| 09-06 14:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $106.97 |