PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

GayPride

0x551e72eda42a5ab39d6d78239a1d9bbb5db6b0e0

Realised P&L
$570.4k
Volume
$23.72M
Markets traded
879
Open portfolio
$62.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded879
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 03:53Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?SELL0.06$51.32
07-30 11:44Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?BUY0.23$8.96
07-30 10:03Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?BUY0.941$37.73
07-30 09:58Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?SELL0.49$9.80
07-30 09:58Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?SELL0.4485294118$61.00
07-30 09:57Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.3803846154$197.80
07-30 09:57Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.3826684456$573.62
07-30 09:49Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?BUY0.93$931.27
07-30 09:45Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?BUY0.94$78.09
07-30 01:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.5714708603$148.26
07-30 01:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.49$352.42
07-30 01:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.6$52.24
07-30 01:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?SELL0.96954002$969.54
07-29 06:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.17$85.00
07-29 06:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$32.60