PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

78979879879879

0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e

Realised P&L
$-126.6k
Volume
$5.31M
Markets traded
296
Open portfolio
$380.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded296
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4020.542$136.2k+$35.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8260.925$77.5k+$8.3k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4430.555$29.6k+$6.0k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No0.6190.695$28.1k+$3.1k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8460.775$19.6k$1.8k
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes0.8340.835$19.4k+$21.56
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.7910.870$17.7k+$1.6k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · No0.7290.850$9.4k+$1.3k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8170.795$8.9k$248.64
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1950.226$6.1k+$826.89
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9060.855$5.3k$312.21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7300.785$3.2k+$226.03
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · Yes0.5690.925$2.9k+$1.1k
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.8170.815$2.5k$4.74
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7740.715$2.2k$178.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8099999998$46.00
09-17 01:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7892096288$68.00
09-17 01:15Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?SELL0.9653856537$25.03
09-17 01:15Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?SELL0.93$92.07
09-17 00:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.7464652492$431.84
09-17 00:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.86$842.00
09-17 00:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8146293214$1.1k
09-17 00:03Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8799999917$17.00
09-16 23:50Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7784487635$275.00
09-16 23:49Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7259182825$473.00
09-16 23:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.8989673987$148.00
09-16 23:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.878909524$340.00
09-16 23:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6635071011$40.00
09-16 23:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$4.0k
09-16 14:01Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5469999983$73.38