MissaoComFlavio
0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e
- Realised P&L
- $-277.4k
- Volume
- $7.31M
- Markets traded
- 363
- Open portfolio
- $250.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded363
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.1kat 0.786Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$16.7kat 0.877Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$14.6kat 0.637Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
- +$14.2kat 0.826Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
- +$10.8kat 0.892Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.986 | $4.93 |
| 11-01 14:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.9877256318 | $18.0k |
| 10-31 23:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $516.00 |
| 10-31 23:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.9732924693 | $570.00 |
| 10-31 23:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.976 | $2.9k |
| 10-31 23:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.0k |
| 10-31 00:29 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.5k |
| 10-31 00:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | SELL | 0.999 | $252.35 |
| 10-31 00:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | SELL | 0.999 | $655.93 |
| 10-31 00:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | SELL | 0.999 | $669.33 |
| 10-31 00:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | SELL | 0.999 | $613.81 |
| 10-31 00:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | SELL | 0.999 | $287.46 |
| 10-30 12:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.9269999982 | $410.00 |
| 10-30 12:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9359999837 | $46.00 |
| 10-30 12:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | BUY | 0.9447911843 | $678.00 |