Cal800
0x05ede65980909056e407a42ddf0bf3a9b5d4bf70
- Realised P&L
- $9.8k
- Volume
- $1.42M
- Markets traded
- 1,250
- Open portfolio
- $13.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,250
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.705US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.991US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.738Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 3?
- +$1.1kat 0.746Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 19?
- +$1.0kat 0.759Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 46°F or higher on April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $924.00 |
| 09-17 23:35 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $923.68 |
| 09-17 22:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $980.32 |
| 09-17 22:34 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $980.00 |
| 09-17 22:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $19.36 |
| 09-17 22:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.4k |
| 09-17 22:04 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | SELL | 0.9910211713 | $2.3k |
| 09-17 22:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $598.19 |
| 09-17 22:02 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.994 | $513.28 |
| 09-13 12:47 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.00 |
| 09-13 12:43 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.959 | $38.36 |
| 09-13 12:43 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $38.32 |
| 09-13 12:42 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.957 | $303.94 |
| 09-13 12:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.989 | $400.55 |
| 09-07 22:54 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.961 | $257.12 |