PolyBot

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Traders

Cal800

0x05ede65980909056e407a42ddf0bf3a9b5d4bf70

Realised P&L
$9.8k
Volume
$1.42M
Markets traded
1,250
Open portfolio
$13.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,250
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9580.977$6.5k+$123.83
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8800.875$5.3k$30.43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9200.935$1.0k+$16.26
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by August 31, 2026? · No0.9690.913$330.96$20.47
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9710.980$187.62+$1.64
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8400.855$6.01+$0.11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9090.935$4.49+$0.12
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8900.920$2.69+$0.09
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9760.995$1.91+$0.04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9370.954$1.59+$0.03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8010.841$1.14+$0.05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.955$1.05+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$924.00
09-17 23:35Iran leadership change by September 30?SELL0.98$923.68
09-17 22:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$980.32
09-17 22:34Iran leadership change by September 30?SELL0.98$980.00
09-17 22:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$19.36
09-17 22:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$3.4k
09-17 22:04Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?SELL0.9910211713$2.3k
09-17 22:03Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?SELL0.996$598.19
09-17 22:02Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.994$513.28
09-13 12:47Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.96$19.00
09-13 12:43Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.959$38.36
09-13 12:43Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.958$38.32
09-13 12:42Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.957$303.94
09-13 12:41Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?SELL0.989$400.55
09-07 22:54Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.961$257.12