Cal800
0x05ede65980909056e407a42ddf0bf3a9b5d4bf70
- Realised P&L
- $7.3k
- Volume
- $1.37M
- Markets traded
- 1,231
- Open portfolio
- $11.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,231
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.991US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
- +$966.56at 0.857Will Trump visit China by June 30?
- +$870.34at 0.806Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?
- +$776.83at 0.914Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
- +$519.11at 0.906Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 19:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.5100153732 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 07:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $217.91 |
| 08-02 07:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.847 | $31.52 |
| 08-02 06:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $144.35 |
| 08-02 06:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.864 | $315.45 |
| 08-02 06:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8645967742 | $107.21 |
| 08-02 06:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $183.22 |
| 08-02 06:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $131.23 |
| 08-02 06:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.132711 | $66.36 |
| 08-02 06:32 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1789932 | $89.50 |
| 08-02 06:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $504.00 |
| 08-02 06:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $37.02 |
| 08-02 06:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8583283223 | $71.37 |
| 08-02 06:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.848 | $8.48 |