PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

QuietRiskisWrong

0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a

Realised P&L
$634.1k
Volume
$11.69M
Markets traded
351
Open portfolio
$845.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded351
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7220.795$707.2k+$65.0k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.9790.987$30.9k+$245.26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7800.998$30.8k+$6.7k
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.7700.885$19.2k+$2.5k
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6930.795$13.3k+$1.7k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.8990.981$8.2k+$684.58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7990.890$7.8k+$794.69
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.6360.735$4.7k+$639.83
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.7410.895$3.7k+$634.86
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.7940.825$3.1k+$115.24
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? · Yes0.9060.994$3.0k+$261.02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.8800.880$2.9k$0.71
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? · No0.9200.945$2.7k+$70.63
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8940.956$2.1k+$137.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · No0.8910.915$1.8k+$47.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.9900852509$15.2k
08-02 21:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8899999987$63.91
08-02 21:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.9809819818$49.00
08-02 21:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.97999545$196.00
08-02 21:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.9789999955$97.00
08-02 21:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.9896530258$7.6k
08-02 21:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.981$912.00
08-02 21:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.9799090149$1.1k
08-02 21:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.997$10.0k
08-02 21:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8799999985$273.00
08-02 21:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.98$231.00
08-02 21:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.998$503.99
08-02 21:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.9794971768$224.00
08-02 21:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.9879999993$783.00
08-02 21:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.998$1.0k