Votei14Voude22
0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a
- Realised P&L
- $182.4k
- Volume
- $17.79M
- Markets traded
- 504
- Open portfolio
- $446.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded504
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$255.1kat 0.422Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$197.2kat 0.438US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$130.9kat 0.752Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$47.4kat 0.604Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$41.7kat 0.531US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:43 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 16:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.9869590929 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 16:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9919764406 | $5.6k |
| 11-01 16:18 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.5k |
| 11-01 16:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.986981628 | $5.2k |
| 11-01 16:10 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.0k |
| 11-01 16:08 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $30.0k |
| 11-01 16:08 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7299999999 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 16:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $30.0k |
| 11-01 15:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $21.8k |
| 11-01 15:30 | Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $490.00 |
| 11-01 15:29 | Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 15:20 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9879940296 | $7.9k |
| 11-01 15:18 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $1.1k |
| 11-01 15:18 | Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9664413102 | $53.00 |