PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

blunderbot

0xa639cba9de2767193ac9652e56f79c6a9302a48f

Realised P&L
$-7.6k
Volume
$5.54M
Markets traded
10,220
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,220
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4310.375$2.8k−$417.42
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9960.979$828.96−$14.39
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? · Yes0.3500.285$814.28−$185.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12? · No0.9950.996$386.07+$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 08:25Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?BUY0.995$385.68
10-12 01:41Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?SELL0.999$239.85
10-12 01:36Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?SELL0.999$5.00
10-11 23:17Broncos vs. ChargersSELL0.999$499.50
10-11 22:48Broncos vs. ChargersSELL0.55$598.01
10-11 20:03Broncos vs. ChargersBUY0.63$500.00
10-11 20:03Broncos vs. ChargersBUY0.63$500.00
10-11 18:11Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.38$1.0k
10-10 23:31Tennessee vs. ArkansasSELL0.999$535.46
10-10 23:31Tennessee vs. ArkansasSELL0.999$210.73
10-10 23:31Tennessee vs. ArkansasSELL0.999$562.44
10-10 23:31Tennessee vs. ArkansasSELL0.999$529.47
10-10 23:31Tennessee vs. ArkansasSELL0.999$540.46
10-10 16:57Texas vs. OklahomaBUY0.75$500.00
10-10 15:26Tennessee vs. ArkansasBUY0.84$2.0k