PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

blunderbot

0xa639cba9de2767193ac9652e56f79c6a9302a48f

Realised P&L
$-7.4k
Volume
$5.45M
Markets traded
10,119
Open portfolio
$6.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,119
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.5400.735$2.7k+$722.23
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.3570.650$1.7k+$785.79
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.4410.690$1.1k+$414.18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2? · No0.9960.999$398.92+$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 2? · No0.9950.999$199.70+$0.60
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? · No0.9950.997$160.30+$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:53Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.995$160.06
08-02 13:56Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2?BUY0.996$106.65
08-02 13:51Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2?BUY0.996$186.24
08-02 13:45Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2?BUY0.996$100.10
08-02 13:40Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2?BUY0.995$4.93
08-02 09:58Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 2?BUY0.996$24.78
08-02 09:58Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 2?BUY0.996$74.82
08-02 09:57Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 2?BUY0.995$99.50
08-02 06:47Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?SELL0.999$1.2k
08-01 17:58Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5SELL0.999$22.25
08-01 17:52Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5SELL0.999$598.77
08-01 17:00Exact Score: IK Start 3 - 0 Viking FK?SELL0.999$201.00
08-01 15:58Exact Score: IK Start 3 - 0 Viking FK?BUY0.994$100.00
08-01 15:53Exact Score: IK Start 3 - 0 Viking FK?BUY0.994$100.00
08-01 15:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?SELL0.999$25.19