blunderbot
0xa639cba9de2767193ac9652e56f79c6a9302a48f
- Realised P&L
- $-7.6k
- Volume
- $5.54M
- Markets traded
- 10,220
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,220
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.431 | 0.375 | $2.8k | −$417.42 |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.996 | 0.979 | $828.96 | −$14.39 |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.285 | $814.28 | −$185.71 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12? · No | 0.995 | 0.996 | $386.07 | +$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.628Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$1.4kat 0.540US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.410Chargers vs. Chiefs
- +$976.05at 0.521Miami vs. Texas A&M
- +$961.98at 0.638United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 08:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.995 | $385.68 |
| 10-12 01:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.999 | $239.85 |
| 10-12 01:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 23:17 | Broncos vs. Chargers | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 10-11 22:48 | Broncos vs. Chargers | SELL | 0.55 | $598.01 |
| 10-11 20:03 | Broncos vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.63 | $500.00 |
| 10-11 20:03 | Broncos vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.63 | $500.00 |
| 10-11 18:11 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.0k |
| 10-10 23:31 | Tennessee vs. Arkansas | SELL | 0.999 | $535.46 |
| 10-10 23:31 | Tennessee vs. Arkansas | SELL | 0.999 | $210.73 |
| 10-10 23:31 | Tennessee vs. Arkansas | SELL | 0.999 | $562.44 |
| 10-10 23:31 | Tennessee vs. Arkansas | SELL | 0.999 | $529.47 |
| 10-10 23:31 | Tennessee vs. Arkansas | SELL | 0.999 | $540.46 |
| 10-10 16:57 | Texas vs. Oklahoma | BUY | 0.75 | $500.00 |
| 10-10 15:26 | Tennessee vs. Arkansas | BUY | 0.84 | $2.0k |