PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

scout

0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3

Realised P&L
$306.9k
Volume
$53.42M
Markets traded
1,025
Open portfolio
$644.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,025
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9761.000$250.1k+$6.0k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.825$239.3k−$7.3k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9340.955$105.6k+$2.4k
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7540.670$26.8k−$3.4k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes0.8800.935$9.3k+$550.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.9450.992$8.9k+$426.35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · Yes0.9300.975$3.9k+$182.31
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? · Yes0.3500.225$450.00−$250.00
Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government? · Yashar0.6200.510$9.85−$2.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:181win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.35$700.00
11-01 17:34Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.999$99.9k
10-31 20:54Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.991$7.7k
10-31 20:30US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.999$5.9k
10-31 19:43Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.9957943856$13.4k
10-31 19:42Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9894108655$4.2k
10-31 19:30Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9902140461$5.0k
10-31 19:29Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9919255001$6.7k
10-31 19:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.998$6.6k
10-31 19:10Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9739986188$3.5k
10-31 18:15Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.929$8.4k
10-31 17:50Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.861$1.2k
10-31 17:00Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.9939520536$54.5k
10-31 16:26Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6375961496$2.8k
10-31 16:22Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5689758046$633.75