eCash
0x62cf46cd4c3af254dccfc37a7f93de265b4b5826
- Realised P&L
- $286.4k
- Volume
- $10.28M
- Markets traded
- 670
- Open portfolio
- $415.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded670
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.8kat 0.459Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$44.1kat 0.719Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
- +$41.6kat 0.500Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$39.5kat 0.639Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
- +$31.4kat 0.715Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:39 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7901465124 | $297.70 |
| 11-01 07:46 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.20 |
| 10-31 22:39 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.07 |
| 10-31 21:00 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $15.27 |
| 10-31 20:59 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | BUY | 0.9869464587 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 20:43 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | BUY | 0.9749446815 | $989.25 |
| 10-31 18:44 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | BUY | 0.986 | $731.96 |
| 10-31 17:07 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.6677543912 | $843.58 |
| 10-31 16:45 | Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3190909091 | $210.60 |
| 10-31 16:45 | Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $2.5k |
| 10-31 16:42 | Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7836941871 | $645.38 |
| 10-31 14:07 | Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9181571486 | $906.77 |
| 10-31 12:50 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9106405694 | $511.78 |
| 10-31 12:48 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.923672912 | $23.1k |
| 10-31 12:43 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.8753894421 | $1.3k |