PolyBot

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Traders

mini-man

0xc90240c20fa7f94672d77b8cad838c05b9e0cd14

Realised P&L
$86.9k
Volume
$2.03M
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4200.575$1.5k+$401.41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9130.973$1.2k+$70.74
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3210.064$832.36$3.4k
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4860.065$642.99$4.2k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4700.553$415.36+$62.78
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.3510.235$170.34$84.21
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · No0.7010.875$87.50+$17.44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.3090.120$68.73$108.09
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2900.005$49.00$2.8k
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.4100.125$25.00$57.00
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · Yes0.4780.195$24.06$34.93
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8360.967$9.66+$1.30
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0920.018$1.30$5.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 11:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4698368017$595.13
09-06 12:43Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.5$2.50
07-20 08:22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.21$241.42
07-20 07:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.51$3.4k
07-20 07:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.5$100.00
07-20 07:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.49$72.05
07-19 16:20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.49$1.6k
07-07 19:59Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.18$44.94
07-06 22:22Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.81$199.45
07-06 22:21Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.66$121.10
07-06 21:34Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.72$3.60
07-06 21:33Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.68$3.40
07-06 21:33Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.67$3.35
07-06 21:33Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.68$3.40
07-06 21:32Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.7$3.50