PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

hobo69

0xe54d37c9c12e5fd3d684ff4d193ef1f44dabfdec

Realised P&L
$-76.8k
Volume
$4.38M
Markets traded
3,052
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,052
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.6420.735$2.2k+$278.21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.4470.310$500.33$220.33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.095$475.00$875.00
Set Handicap: Boisson (-1.5) vs Ruzic (+1.5) · Ruzic0.7100.600$240.00$44.00
Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Kecmanovic (+1.5) · Kecmanovic0.6700.750$225.00+$24.05
Set Handicap: O'Connell (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5) · Duckworth0.6400.640$192.00+$0.00
Set Handicap: Cocciaretto (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5) · Gibson0.6400.635$190.50$1.50
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5) · Jodar0.6600.630$189.00$9.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.2970.025$165.98$1.8k
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.165$49.50$127.50
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.6301.000$45.92+$16.98
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.0390.990$14.86+$14.27
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Fnatic0.1300.001$0.25$64.75
Set Handicap: Liutova (-1.5) vs Kalieva (+1.5) · Kalieva0.6370.000$0.00$191.00
Set Handicap: Fearnley (-1.5) vs Ofner (+1.5) · Ofner0.6200.000$0.00$248.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:57LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$899.08
08-02 20:25LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.65$324.99
08-02 19:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
08-02 19:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.05$2.00
08-02 19:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.8899999947$10.00
08-02 19:33Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.4599999595$5.00
08-02 19:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.1299999467$2.00
08-02 19:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.08$2.00
08-02 19:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.1299999467$2.00
08-02 19:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.4$5.00
08-02 19:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.4$5.00
08-02 19:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.6699999625$5.00
08-02 19:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.5399999654$5.00
08-02 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.9253731247$10.00
08-02 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.8172703163$10.00