Newshound
0x5e73afb20c2b27caccdaad9e49b97fd336576697
- Realised P&L
- $59.7k
- Volume
- $3.61M
- Markets traded
- 1,696
- Open portfolio
- $46.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,696
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.6kat 0.554US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$6.9kat 0.779Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$5.2kat 0.528Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
- +$4.9kat 0.799US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
- +$4.7kat 0.603Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $6.7k |
| 08-02 15:06 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.44 | $303.42 |
| 07-31 22:59 | Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? | BUY | 0.6324968789 | $50.66 |
| 07-31 22:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.8851270732 | $3.8k |
| 07-31 21:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $434.94 |
| 07-31 21:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.8k |
| 07-31 21:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3225379049 | $1.2k |
| 07-31 20:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $642.35 |
| 07-31 15:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.1052898132 | $1.0k |
| 07-31 14:10 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1051257282 | $1.1k |
| 07-31 14:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.1k |
| 07-31 11:43 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $237.15 |
| 07-31 11:43 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.6074937066 | $60.33 |
| 07-31 09:29 | Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? | SELL | 0.6520634534 | $241.08 |
| 07-31 08:15 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.15 | $41.34 |