Newshound
0x5e73afb20c2b27caccdaad9e49b97fd336576697
- Realised P&L
- $74.8k
- Volume
- $4.37M
- Markets traded
- 1,857
- Open portfolio
- $35.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,857
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.0kat 0.095Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
- +$11.6kat 0.554US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$7.5kat 0.504US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
- +$6.7kat 0.784Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$6.4kat 0.411US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:56 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 17:39 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.9k |
| 10-31 23:44 | Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $214.60 |
| 10-30 13:15 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? | BUY | 0.218459168 | $70.89 |
| 10-30 12:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4013547606 | $706.04 |
| 10-30 08:21 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.69 | $414.00 |
| 10-30 07:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.6k |
| 10-29 22:44 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | BUY | 0.5454816351 | $997.11 |
| 10-29 17:17 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $147.28 |
| 10-29 17:16 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | SELL | 0.6232041807 | $1.6k |
| 10-29 17:04 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | SELL | 0.6447822396 | $2.6k |
| 10-29 10:39 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BUY | 0.9642727273 | $106.07 |
| 10-29 10:34 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-29 10:17 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BUY | 0.9884505954 | $61.42 |
| 10-29 10:17 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $141.54 |