Newshound
0x5e73afb20c2b27caccdaad9e49b97fd336576697
- Realised P&L
- $44.0k
- Volume
- $3.99M
- Markets traded
- 1,765
- Open portfolio
- $30.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,765
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.0kat 0.095Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
- +$11.6kat 0.554US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$7.5kat 0.504US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
- +$6.7kat 0.784Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$5.2kat 0.528Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:54 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6797888693 | $4.0k |
| 09-16 17:53 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.4k |
| 09-16 17:53 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.3409896246 | $185.03 |
| 09-16 08:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.58 | $961.03 |
| 09-16 06:23 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $804.29 |
| 09-15 13:46 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6073715054 | $329.58 |
| 09-15 06:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.0186401512 | $4.14 |
| 09-14 19:00 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $7.05 |
| 09-14 10:46 | Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by September 30? | BUY | 0.9186765857 | $82.12 |
| 09-14 08:44 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BUY | 0.408133207 | $90.45 |
| 09-14 07:32 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $398.69 |
| 09-14 07:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.95 | $66.25 |
| 09-14 06:20 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | BUY | 0.429010989 | $112.83 |
| 09-13 19:33 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | SELL | 0.014 | $7.08 |
| 09-13 11:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.3559746338 | $717.95 |