LulaVaiPerder
0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e
- Realised P&L
- $307.8k
- Volume
- $14.05M
- Markets traded
- 468
- Open portfolio
- $474.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded468
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.1kat 0.486US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$120.3kat 0.676Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$45.0kat 0.641Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$45.0kat 0.677Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$41.6kat 0.616Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 19:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.9721471386 | $300.00 |
| 11-01 19:27 | Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6750481324 | $416.00 |
| 11-01 19:26 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.8265678837 | $289.00 |
| 11-01 18:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.9299999996 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 18:53 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.8357472922 | $7.4k |
| 11-01 13:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.986 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 13:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.9k |
| 11-01 13:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.9844922634 | $6.6k |
| 11-01 12:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.9k |
| 11-01 12:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.9848252904 | $7.3k |
| 11-01 12:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9887382043 | $3.3k |
| 11-01 12:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | BUY | 0.9947666477 | $4.1k |
| 11-01 12:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.983015015 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 12:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.0k |