aff3
0xe52c0a1327a12edc7bd54ea6f37ce00a4ca96924
- Realised P&L
- $247.6k
- Volume
- $16.49M
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $473.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.1kat 0.795Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$23.2kat 0.939Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$18.3kat 0.847Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$16.9kat 0.918Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$16.1kat 0.893Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 05:57 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $3.5k |
| 09-09 12:54 | Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9579946221 | $4.2k |
| 09-09 12:53 | Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9664304189 | $12.2k |
| 09-09 06:03 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.87 | $13.7k |
| 09-09 06:01 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.0k |
| 09-09 05:18 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.59 | $1.6k |
| 09-08 17:58 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8397793893 | $12.1k |
| 09-08 17:56 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $57.83 |
| 09-08 10:18 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.7k |
| 09-08 06:26 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.765465038 | $1.7k |
| 09-08 05:42 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.849827884 | $11.1k |
| 09-07 17:00 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $15.4k |
| 09-06 07:18 | Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9649785499 | $15.9k |
| 09-06 07:17 | Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.959 | $3.4k |
| 09-06 07:17 | Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9579154453 | $3.2k |